edgeboard
MONEY SLATE · LIVE
2026-06-13 06:15 PT · refreshed just now
PITCHERS NOW
VEGAS
LINEUPS
WEATHER NOW
KALSHI HR
PP EDGES NOW
ML EDGES
WC EDGES NOW
TENNIS NOW
TOTAL PICKS
12
locked today
ELITE
0
top tier
STRONG
0
tier 2
REAL $ PLAN
$0
0 fires
STOP-LOSS YELLOW — 7-day portfolio P&L = $-102.15. Halve real-money stakes today.
Live Portfolio · today
SportP&LRecordLiveHealth
⚾ MLB$0.000W / 0L12 live(early)
⚽ WC$0.000W / 0L10 live(early)
🏈 NFLno slate today
PORTFOLIO$0.000W / 0L22 live
Today's Fires — Real Money Plan 0 ranked
FULL REAL MONEY PLAN — $0 total stake · 0 fires
No real-money plays meeting threshold today.
Stay paper, build calibration data.

Line Movement & EV Screen CLV + vig-adj

No locked picks intersect line_history yet — CLV tracking will populate as the day progresses.
PrizePicks
Pitcher Plays
1st Inning
Parlays
Results
🟢 Green Locks · PP safe Power-Play floors

🟢 Green Locks17 players

PrizePicks 🟢 Goblins (lower lines, ~60% implied) and ⚪ Standards (~50% implied) where this player's L10 actual hit rate clears the line at 75%+. ⚠️ Do NOT stack 5-6 Goblins alone — PP pays only 4-5x on all-Goblin Power Plays (verified 2026-05-18). Use these as insurance legs in a Demon-anchored Power Play (3 Demons + 2 Locks → ~20x with high floor). See the suggested HYBRID combo below.

PlayerStat / variantLineL10 hit%Edge vs PPGame
Alec Burleson STL
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppMIN @ STL
Chase Meidroth CWS
also locks: Hits, Total Bases
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppLAD @ CWS
Colt Emerson SEAHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppWSH @ SEA
Kyle Schwarber PHIHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppMIL @ PHI
Luis Arraez SFHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCHC @ SF
Rafael Devers SFHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCHC @ SF
Troy Johnston COLHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppATH @ COL
Yordan Alvarez HOUHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppKC @ HOU
Zack Gelof ATHHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCOL @ ATH
A.J. Ewing NYMHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppATL @ NYM
Ian Happ CHCHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppSF @ CHC
Jung Hoo Lee SF
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppCHC @ SF
Suggested 5-leg HYBRID Power Play
3 Demons (high multiplier) + 2 Green Lock insurance. ~51% combined hit prob × ~20x = EV +$9.24/$1 stake. All-Goblin stacks pay 4-5x (garbage); hybrid pays 20x+ when Demons are real.
🔴 Shohei Ohtani · Hits+Runs+RBIs 80%🔴 Alec Burleson · Total Bases 80%🔴 Christian Yelich · Total Bases 80%🟢 Chase Meidroth · Hits+Runs+RBIs 100%🟢 Colt Emerson · Hitter Strikeouts 100%
Open PrizePicks →
🎁 Mispriced Demons · PrizePicks gift detector

🎁 Mispriced PP Demons15 candidates

PP prices these as ~40% (Demon variant = ~2x multiplier) but our model says they clear at the % shown. Today's 5/17 $110 win came from stacking 4 of these. Build a 3-4-leg Power Play on PrizePicks — pick from different games for uncorrelation. Verify multiplier on the app.

PlayerStat / variantLineEst hit%Edge vs PPGame
Ernie Clement TORHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppNYY @ TOR
Chase Meidroth CWSHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppLAD @ CWS
Samad Taylor SDHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.567% (4/6)+26.7ppBAL @ SD
Shohei Ohtani LADHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.580% (8/10)+40.0ppCWS @ LAD
Bryce Eldridge SFTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppCHC @ SF
Ryan Ward LADHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.560% (6/10)+20.0ppCWS @ LAD
Alec Burleson STLTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.580% (8/10)+40.0ppMIN @ STL
Keibert Ruiz WSHHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppSEA @ WSH
Michael Harris II ATLTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppNYM @ ATL
Freddie Freeman LADHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.560% (6/10)+20.0ppCWS @ LAD
Tristan Peters CWSTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppLAD @ CWS
Ceddanne Rafaela BOSTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppTEX @ BOS
Suggested 4-leg Power Play (different games)
Ernie Clement · Hits+Runs+RBIsChase Meidroth · Hits+Runs+RBIsSamad Taylor · Hits+Runs+RBIsShohei Ohtani · Hits+Runs+RBIs
Open PrizePicks →
🎯 Total Bases Best Picks

🎯 Total Bases Best Pickstop 8 composite-ranked

Today's TB board: 962 🔴 Demons / 259 🟢 Goblins / 42 Standards. Composite score = 30% form + 25% pitcher matchup + 25% barrel + 15% park + 5% sample density. COLDs auto-skipped. Lineup-gated (scratches removed).

#PlayerLineSidePA14L10ScoreWhy
1Jac Caglianone🔥 HOT
KC
1.5MORE546/10 60%77.3Above-avg bat · on hot streak (6% HR rate) · crushing the ball · facing vulnerable Burrows
2James Wood
WSH
1.5MORE584/10 40%77.0Elite bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · facing vulnerable Castillo (4.90 ERA)
3Corbin Carroll🔥 HOT
AZ
1.5MORE604/10 40%76.6Above-avg bat · on hot streak (7% HR rate) · hitting it hard · facing vulnerable Lowder (5
4Pete Alonso🔥 HOT
BAL
1.5MORE624/10 40%76.5Above-avg bat · on hot streak (8% HR rate) · hitting it hard · facing BP-arm Vásquez (6.55
5Nick Kurtz🔥 HOT
ATH
1.5MORE605/10 50%74.0Great bat 🔥 · on hot streak (13% HR rate) · crushing the ball
6Fernando Tatis Jr.🔥 HOT
SD
1.5MORE605/10 50%73.2Solid bat · on hot streak (3% HR rate) · hitting it hard · facing BP-arm Gibson (7.76 rece
7Juan Soto
NYM
1.5MORE552/10 20%73.0Elite bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · facing average Pérez
8Gabriel Moreno
AZ
1.5MORE535/10 50%72.6Above-avg bat · hitting it hard · facing vulnerable Lowder (5.10 ERA)
Primary: 3-leg Triple-Threat (5x payout est)
Standard 3-leg = 5x. $5 → $25. Lowest risk.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Jac CaglianoneTotal Bases1.5MORE6/10 60%HOU @ KC
2James WoodTotal Bases1.5MORE4/10 40%SEA @ WSH
3Corbin CarrollTotal Bases1.5MORE4/10 40%CIN @ AZ
Why:
  • 3 separate games (HOU @ KC / SEA @ WSH / CIN @ AZ) → zero same-game correlation
  • All 3 have PA14 ≥ 50 → dense data, gate-approved
  • All face vulnerable pitchers (xFIP / recent ERA ≥ 4.40)
  • All HOT batters with high HR/PA rates
📐 Math (Flex 3-leg)
Break-even/leg: 57.74% · Our avg L10: 47% · need 57.7% per leg
Expected payout: 0.64x (EV $-0.36/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
3/310%3.0x
2/335%1.0x
Upside: 4-leg add (10x payout est)
Standard 4-leg = 10x. $5 → $50. Same thesis + 1 more game.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Jac CaglianoneTotal Bases1.5MORE6/10 60%HOU @ KC
2James WoodTotal Bases1.5MORE4/10 40%SEA @ WSH
3Corbin CarrollTotal Bases1.5MORE4/10 40%CIN @ AZ
4Pete AlonsoTotal Bases1.5MORE4/10 40%SD @ BAL
Why:
  • Add Pete Alonso at SD @ BAL
  • 4 separate games — still uncorrelated
  • Same dense-data + HOT-bat thesis as primary
📐 Math (Flex 4-leg)
Break-even/leg: 55.03% · Our avg L10: 45% · need 55.0% per leg
Expected payout: 0.53x (EV $-0.47/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
4/44%6.0x
3/420%1.5x
Auto-faded (caught by gates):
JJ Wetherholt, Andrés Giménez, Gunnar Henderson, Miguel Andujar, Xavier Edwards, Daniel Schneemann, Matt Vierling, Sal Stewart
🎲 Solid PP Parlays (8-25x)

🎰 Solid Power Play Parlays3 suggestedlineup-gated · scratches auto-removed

Auto-built using top Mispriced Demons (L10 ≥ 70%) + top Green Locks (L10 ≥ 85%). Different games for uncorrelation · max 2 same-team · scratched players removed via MLB lineup card check. Universe: 6 Demons + 16 Locks tonight. Verify multiplier on PP app — PP adjusts when lineups shift.

🛡️ SAFEST
2-pick
3.0–5.0xpayout range
64.0% combined
EV $+0.92–$+2.20/$1
Lowest-leg-count Power Play. Both Demons at 70%+ L10 → combined hit prob is high. 13.5x boosted = 8-10x effective.
🔴 DEMShohei Ohtani Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 2.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · CWS @ LAD
🔴 DEMAlec Burleson Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · MIN @ STL
$5 → $15–$25
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat
⚖️ BALANCED
4-pick
6.0–10.8xpayout range
64.0% combined
EV $+2.84–$+5.91/$1
2 Demons anchor for multiplier, 2 Locks as insurance. If 1 Demon misses, the Locks still gives partial payout via PP's 'win contest or 5 of 5' refund.
🔴 DEMShohei Ohtani Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 2.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · CWS @ LAD
🔴 DEMAlec Burleson Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · MIN @ STL
🟢 GOBChase Meidroth Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · LAD @ CWS
🟢 GOBRafael Devers Hitter Strikeouts MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · CHC @ SF
$5 → $30–$54
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat
🚀 HUNGRY
5-pick
9.0–18.0xpayout range
51.2% combined
EV $+3.61–$+8.22/$1
Top 3 Demons + 2 Lock insurance. 22-35x payout potential. Even on 4/5 you get the contest refund. The 5/17 +$110 PP win was this structure.
🔴 DEMShohei Ohtani Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 2.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · CWS @ LAD
🔴 DEMAlec Burleson Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · MIN @ STL
🔴 DEMChristian Yelich Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · PHI @ MIL
🟢 GOBChase Meidroth Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · LAD @ CWS
🟢 GOBRafael Devers Hitter Strikeouts MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · CHC @ SF
$5 → $45–$90
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat

⚾ MLB EdgeBoard + Pro V2

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$-102.15 (148 picks)

⚽ WC EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🎾 Tennis EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🏈 NFL EdgeBoard (off-season — kickoff Sept 11) →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)
Money Slate · generated 2026-06-13 06:15:33 · meta-refresh every 120s · edgeboard-home.pages.dev
Picks aggregated from forecastcard_mirror{,_wc,_tennis}/paper_trades_*_2026-06-13.json