edgeboard
MONEY SLATE · LIVE
2026-06-18 06:11 PT · refreshed just now
PITCHERS NOW
VEGAS
LINEUPS
WEATHER NOW
KALSHI HR
PP EDGES NOW
ML EDGES
WC EDGES
TENNIS NOW
TOTAL PICKS
5
locked today
ELITE
0
top tier
STRONG
0
tier 2
REAL $ PLAN
$0
0 fires
Portfolio green — 7-day P&L = $+22.83. Stake plan unchanged.
Live Portfolio · today
SportP&LRecordLiveHealth
⚾ MLB$0.000W / 0L5 live(early)
⚽ WC$0.000W / 0L10 live(early)
🏈 NFLno slate today
PORTFOLIO$0.000W / 0L15 live
Today's Fires — Real Money Plan 0 ranked
FULL REAL MONEY PLAN — $0 total stake · 0 fires
No real-money plays meeting threshold today.
Stay paper, build calibration data.

Line Movement & EV Screen CLV + vig-adj

No locked picks intersect line_history yet — CLV tracking will populate as the day progresses.
PrizePicks
Pitcher Plays
1st Inning
Parlays
Results
🟢 Green Locks · PP safe Power-Play floors

🟢 Green Locks13 players

PrizePicks 🟢 Goblins (lower lines, ~60% implied) and ⚪ Standards (~50% implied) where this player's L10 actual hit rate clears the line at 75%+. ⚠️ Do NOT stack 5-6 Goblins alone — PP pays only 4-5x on all-Goblin Power Plays (verified 2026-05-18). Use these as insurance legs in a Demon-anchored Power Play (3 Demons + 2 Locks → ~20x with high floor). See the suggested HYBRID combo below.

PlayerStat / variantLineL10 hit%Edge vs PPGame
Alec Burleson STL
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppKC @ STL
Drake Baldwin ATLHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppSF @ ATL
Zack Gelof ATH
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppLAA @ ATH
Bryce Eldridge SF
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppATL @ SF
Christian Yelich MIL
also locks: Hitter Strikeouts
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppCLE @ MIL
Jacob Wilson ATHHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppLAA @ ATH
Luis Arraez SFHits 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppATL @ SF
Nathan Lukes TOR
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppBOS @ TOR
Paul Goldschmidt NYY
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppCWS @ NYY
Rafael Devers SFHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppATL @ SF
Denzer Guzman LAAHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.588% (7/8)+28ppATH @ LAA
Braden Montgomery CWSHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.586% (6/7)+26ppNYY @ CWS
Suggested 5-leg HYBRID Power Play
3 Demons (high multiplier) + 2 Green Lock insurance. ~51% combined hit prob × ~20x = EV +$9.24/$1 stake. All-Goblin stacks pay 4-5x (garbage); hybrid pays 20x+ when Demons are real.
🔴 Paul Goldschmidt · Total Bases 80%🔴 Zack Gelof · Total Bases 80%🔴 Bo Bichette · Hits+Runs+RBIs 80%🟢 Alec Burleson · Hits 100%🟢 Drake Baldwin · Hits+Runs+RBIs 100%
Open PrizePicks →
🎁 Mispriced Demons · PrizePicks gift detector

🎁 Mispriced PP Demons15 candidates

PP prices these as ~40% (Demon variant = ~2x multiplier) but our model says they clear at the % shown. Today's 5/17 $110 win came from stacking 4 of these. Build a 3-4-leg Power Play on PrizePicks — pick from different games for uncorrelation. Verify multiplier on the app.

PlayerStat / variantLineEst hit%Edge vs PPGame
Josh Bell MINHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppTEX @ MIN
Taylor Ward BALHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppSEA @ BAL
Paul Goldschmidt NYYTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.580% (8/10)+40.0ppCWS @ NYY
Zack Gelof ATHTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.580% (8/10)+40.0ppLAA @ ATH
Kody Clemens MINTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppTEX @ MIN
Pete Alonso BALHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppSEA @ BAL
Bryce Eldridge SFTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppATL @ SF
Blaze Alexander BALTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppSEA @ BAL
Cole Young SEAHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppBAL @ SEA
Paul Goldschmidt NYYHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.570% (7/10)+30.0ppCWS @ NYY
Elias Díaz TEXHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppMIN @ TEX
Jung Hoo Lee SFTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppATL @ SF
Suggested 4-leg Power Play (different games)
Josh Bell · Hits+Runs+RBIsTaylor Ward · Hits+Runs+RBIsPaul Goldschmidt · Total BasesZack Gelof · Total Bases
Open PrizePicks →
🎯 Total Bases Best Picks

🎯 Total Bases Best Pickstop 8 composite-ranked

Today's TB board: 582 🔴 Demons / 148 🟢 Goblins / 23 Standards. Composite score = 30% form + 25% pitcher matchup + 25% barrel + 15% park + 5% sample density. COLDs auto-skipped. Lineup-gated (scratches removed).

#PlayerLineSidePA14L10ScoreWhy
1Jac Caglianone
KC
1.5MORE484/10 40%74.2Solid bat · hitting it hard · facing vulnerable Liberatore (5.43 ERA)
2Byron Buxton🔥 HOT
MIN
1.5MORE457/10 70%73.8Solid bat · on hot streak (13% HR rate) · crushing the ball · facing vulnerable Leiter (4.
3Nick Kurtz🔥 HOT
ATH
0.5MORE6210/10 100%73.7Great bat 🔥 · on hot streak (11% HR rate) · crushing the ball
4Juan Soto
NYM
1.5MORE525/10 50%72.9Elite bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · facing average Nola
5Kyle Schwarber
PHI
1.5MORE603/10 30%71.9Great bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · facing average Manaea
6Dominic Canzone
SEA
1.5MORE394/10 40%71.3Great bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · facing vulnerable Baz (4.72 ERA)
7Alec Burleson🔥 HOT
STL
1.5MORE557/10 70%71.0Great bat 🔥 · on hot streak (11% HR rate) · hitting it hard · facing average Cameron
8Mike Trout
LAA
0.5MORE568/10 80%70.7Elite bat 🔥 · crushing the ball
Primary: 3-leg Triple-Threat (5x payout est)
Standard 3-leg = 5x. $5 → $25. Lowest risk.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Nick KurtzTotal Bases0.5MORE10/10 100%LAA @ ATH
2Juan SotoTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%PHI @ NYM
3Kyle SchwarberTotal Bases1.5MORE3/10 30%NYM @ PHI
Why:
  • 3 separate games (LAA @ ATH / PHI @ NYM / NYM @ PHI) → zero same-game correlation
  • All 3 have PA14 ≥ 50 → dense data, gate-approved
  • All face vulnerable pitchers (xFIP / recent ERA ≥ 4.40)
  • All HOT batters with high HR/PA rates
📐 Math (Flex 3-leg)
Break-even/leg: 57.74% · Our avg L10: 60% · math says +EV ✓
Expected payout: 0.95x (EV $-0.05/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
3/315%3.0x
2/350%1.0x
Upside: 4-leg add (10x payout est)
Standard 4-leg = 10x. $5 → $50. Same thesis + 1 more game.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Nick KurtzTotal Bases0.5MORE10/10 100%LAA @ ATH
2Juan SotoTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%PHI @ NYM
3Kyle SchwarberTotal Bases1.5MORE3/10 30%NYM @ PHI
4Alec BurlesonTotal Bases1.5MORE7/10 70%KC @ STL
Why:
  • Add Alec Burleson at KC @ STL
  • 4 separate games — still uncorrelated
  • Same dense-data + HOT-bat thesis as primary
📐 Math (Flex 4-leg)
Break-even/leg: 55.03% · Our avg L10: 62% · math says +EV ✓
Expected payout: 1.22x (EV +$0.22/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
4/410%6.0x
3/439%1.5x
Auto-faded (caught by gates):
Christian Yelich, Brandon Nimmo, Ezequiel Duran, Gunnar Henderson, Julio Rodríguez, Bryce Harper, Trea Turner, Bryson Stott
🎲 Solid PP Parlays (8-25x)

🎰 Solid Power Play Parlays3 suggestedlineup-gated · scratches auto-removed

Auto-built using top Mispriced Demons (L10 ≥ 70%) + top Green Locks (L10 ≥ 85%). Different games for uncorrelation · max 2 same-team · scratched players removed via MLB lineup card check. Universe: 10 Demons + 12 Locks tonight. Verify multiplier on PP app — PP adjusts when lineups shift.

🛡️ SAFEST
2-pick
3.0–5.0xpayout range
64.0% combined
EV $+0.92–$+2.20/$1
Lowest-leg-count Power Play. Both Demons at 70%+ L10 → combined hit prob is high. 13.5x boosted = 8-10x effective.
🔴 DEMPaul Goldschmidt Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · CWS @ NYY
🔴 DEMZack Gelof Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · LAA @ ATH
$5 → $15–$25
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat
⚖️ BALANCED
4-pick
6.0–10.8xpayout range
64.0% combined
EV $+2.84–$+5.91/$1
2 Demons anchor for multiplier, 2 Locks as insurance. If 1 Demon misses, the Locks still gives partial payout via PP's 'win contest or 5 of 5' refund.
🔴 DEMPaul Goldschmidt Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · CWS @ NYY
🔴 DEMZack Gelof Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · LAA @ ATH
🟢 GOBAlec Burleson Hits MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · KC @ STL
🟢 GOBDrake Baldwin Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · SF @ ATL
$5 → $30–$54
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat
🚀 HUNGRY
5-pick
9.0–18.0xpayout range
51.2% combined
EV $+3.61–$+8.22/$1
Top 3 Demons + 2 Lock insurance. 22-35x payout potential. Even on 4/5 you get the contest refund. The 5/17 +$110 PP win was this structure.
🔴 DEMPaul Goldschmidt Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · CWS @ NYY
🔴 DEMZack Gelof Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · LAA @ ATH
🔴 DEMBo Bichette Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 2.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · PHI @ NYM
🟢 GOBAlec Burleson Hits MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · KC @ STL
🟢 GOBDrake Baldwin Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · SF @ ATL
$5 → $45–$90
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat

⚾ MLB EdgeBoard + Pro V2

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+22.83 (89 picks)

⚽ WC EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🎾 Tennis EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🏈 NFL EdgeBoard (off-season — kickoff Sept 11) →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)
Money Slate · generated 2026-06-18 06:11:24 · meta-refresh every 120s · edgeboard-home.pages.dev
Picks aggregated from forecastcard_mirror{,_wc,_tennis}/paper_trades_*_2026-06-18.json