edgeboard
MONEY SLATE · LIVE
2026-05-24 09:17 PT · refreshed just now
PITCHERS NOW
VEGAS NOW
LINEUPS NOW
WEATHER NOW
KALSHI HR NOW
PP EDGES NOW
ML EDGES NOW
WC EDGES
TENNIS NOW
TOTAL PICKS
31
locked today
ELITE
0
top tier
STRONG
0
tier 2
REAL $ PLAN
$0
0 fires
Portfolio green — 7-day P&L = $+50.45. Stake plan unchanged.
Live Portfolio · today
SportP&LRecordLiveHealth
⚾ MLB$0.000W / 0L17 live(early)
⚽ WC$0.000W / 0L30 live(early)
🎾 Tennis+$1.001W / 0L0 live·
🏈 NFLno slate today
PORTFOLIO+$1.001W / 0L47 live100% hit
Today's Fires — Real Money Plan 0 ranked
FULL REAL MONEY PLAN — $0 total stake · 0 fires
No real-money plays meeting threshold today.
Stay paper, build calibration data.

Line Movement & EV Screen CLV + vig-adj

No locked picks intersect line_history yet — CLV tracking will populate as the day progresses.
PrizePicks
Pitcher Plays
1st Inning
Parlays
Results
🟢 Green Locks · PP safe Power-Play floors

🟢 Green Locks13 players

PrizePicks 🟢 Goblins (lower lines, ~60% implied) and ⚪ Standards (~50% implied) where this player's L10 actual hit rate clears the line at 75%+. ⚠️ Do NOT stack 5-6 Goblins alone — PP pays only 4-5x on all-Goblin Power Plays (verified 2026-05-18). Use these as insurance legs in a Demon-anchored Power Play (3 Demons + 2 Locks → ~20x with high floor). See the suggested HYBRID combo below.

PlayerStat / variantLineL10 hit%Edge vs PPGame
Jarren Duran BOSHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppMIN @ BOS
Adolis García PHIHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppCLE @ PHI
Alec Burleson STL
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppCIN @ STL
Junior Caminero TB
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppNYY @ TB
Spencer Horwitz PITHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppTOR @ PIT
Spencer Steer CIN
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppSTL @ CIN
Nick Sogard BOS
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.583% (5/6)+23ppMIN @ BOS
Aaron Judge NYYHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.580% (8/10)+20ppTB @ NYY
Bobby Witt Jr. KC
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.580% (8/10)+20ppSEA @ KC
Coby Mayo BALHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.580% (8/10)+20ppDET @ BAL
Elly De La Cruz CINHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.580% (8/10)+20ppSTL @ CIN
Riley Greene DET
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.580% (8/10)+20ppBAL @ DET
Suggested 5-leg HYBRID Power Play
3 Demons (high multiplier) + 2 Green Lock insurance. ~41% combined hit prob × ~20x = EV +$7.29/$1 stake. All-Goblin stacks pay 4-5x (garbage); hybrid pays 20x+ when Demons are real.
🔴 Willson Contreras · Total Bases 80%🔴 Spencer Steer · Total Bases 80%🔴 Jesús Sánchez · Hits+Runs+RBIs 80%🟢 Adolis García · Hitter Strikeouts 90%🟢 Alec Burleson · Hits 90%
Open PrizePicks →
🎁 Mispriced Demons · PrizePicks gift detector

🎁 Mispriced PP Demons15 candidates

PP prices these as ~40% (Demon variant = ~2x multiplier) but our model says they clear at the % shown. Today's 5/17 $110 win came from stacking 4 of these. Build a 3-4-leg Power Play on PrizePicks — pick from different games for uncorrelation. Verify multiplier on the app.

PlayerStat / variantLineEst hit%Edge vs PPGame
Elly De La Cruz CINTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppSTL @ CIN
Bryan Reynolds PITHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppTOR @ PIT
Kyle Schwarber PHITotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppCLE @ PHI
Otto Lopez MIATotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppNYM @ MIA
Blake Dunn CINTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppSTL @ CIN
Willson Contreras BOSTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.580% (8/10)+40.0ppMIN @ BOS
Spencer Steer CINTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.580% (8/10)+40.0ppSTL @ CIN
Kyle Schwarber PHIHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppCLE @ PHI
Jesús Sánchez TORHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.580% (8/10)+40.0ppPIT @ TOR
Brandon Lowe PITTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppTOR @ PIT
Daulton Varsho TORTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppPIT @ TOR
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYYHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppTB @ NYY
Suggested 4-leg Power Play (different games)
Elly De La Cruz · Total BasesBryan Reynolds · Hits+Runs+RBIsKyle Schwarber · Total BasesOtto Lopez · Total Bases
Open PrizePicks →
🎯 Total Bases Best Picks

🎯 Total Bases Best Pickstop 8 composite-ranked

Today's TB board: 925 🔴 Demons / 236 🟢 Goblins / 30 Standards. Composite score = 30% form + 25% pitcher matchup + 25% barrel + 15% park + 5% sample density. COLDs auto-skipped. Lineup-gated (scratches removed).

#PlayerLineSidePA14L10ScoreWhy
1Jordan Walker
STL
1.5MORE524/10 40%79.5Great bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · facing BP-arm Singer (6.06 recent ERA)
2Shohei Ohtani
LAD
0.5MORE549/10 90%76.9Elite bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · facing vulnerable Sproat (4.79 ERA)
3Alec Burleson
STL
1.5MORE505/10 50%73.9Great bat 🔥 · hitting it hard · facing BP-arm Singer (6.06 recent ERA)
4Sal Stewart
CIN
1.5MORE543/10 30%72.0Great bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · hitter-friendly park · facing vulnerable Mautz (4.50 ERA
5Spencer Steer
CIN
1.5MORE528/10 80%71.9Great bat 🔥 · hitting it hard · hitter-friendly park · facing vulnerable Mautz (4.50 ERA)
6Luke Raley
SEA
1.5MORE343/10 30%70.8Great bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · facing vulnerable Lugo (4.92 ERA)
7Freddie Freeman
LAD
1.5MORE523/10 30%70.7Great bat 🔥 · hitting it hard · facing vulnerable Sproat (4.79 ERA)
8Elly De La Cruz
CIN
1.5MORE546/10 60%70.2Above-avg bat · crushing the ball · hitter-friendly park · facing vulnerable Mautz (4.50 E
Primary: 3-leg Triple-Threat (5x payout est)
Standard 3-leg = 5x. $5 → $25. Lowest risk.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Jordan WalkerTotal Bases1.5MORE4/10 40%CIN @ STL
2Shohei OhtaniTotal Bases0.5MORE9/10 90%MIL @ LAD
3Sal StewartTotal Bases1.5MORE3/10 30%STL @ CIN
Why:
  • 3 separate games (CIN @ STL / MIL @ LAD / STL @ CIN) → zero same-game correlation
  • All 3 have PA14 ≥ 50 → dense data, gate-approved
  • All face vulnerable pitchers (xFIP / recent ERA ≥ 4.40)
  • All HOT batters with high HR/PA rates
📐 Math (Flex 3-leg)
Break-even/leg: 57.74% · Our avg L10: 53% · need 57.7% per leg
Expected payout: 0.75x (EV $-0.25/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
3/311%3.0x
2/343%1.0x
Upside: 4-leg add (10x payout est)
Standard 4-leg = 10x. $5 → $50. Same thesis + 1 more game.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Jordan WalkerTotal Bases1.5MORE4/10 40%CIN @ STL
2Shohei OhtaniTotal Bases0.5MORE9/10 90%MIL @ LAD
3Sal StewartTotal Bases1.5MORE3/10 30%STL @ CIN
4Dillon DinglerTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%BAL @ DET
Why:
  • Add Dillon Dingler at BAL @ DET
  • 4 separate games — still uncorrelated
  • Same dense-data + HOT-bat thesis as primary
📐 Math (Flex 4-leg)
Break-even/leg: 55.03% · Our avg L10: 52% · need 55.0% per leg
Expected payout: 0.72x (EV $-0.28/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
4/45%6.0x
3/427%1.5x
High-upside: 3-leg same-game stack (correlated)
All 3 from STL @ CIN — bigger upside, bigger variance.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Sal StewartTotal Bases1.5MORE3/10 30%STL @ CIN
2Spencer SteerTotal Bases1.5MORE8/10 80%STL @ CIN
3Elly De La CruzTotal Bases1.5MORE6/10 60%STL @ CIN
Why:
  • 3 batters from STL @ CIN → correlated
  • If the pitcher gets shelled, all legs hit together
  • If pitcher pitches a gem, all die together
📐 Math (Flex 3-leg)
Break-even/leg: 57.74% · Our avg L10: 57% · need 57.7% per leg
Expected payout: 0.90x (EV $-0.10/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
3/314%3.0x
2/347%1.0x
Auto-faded (caught by gates):
Oneil Cruz, Brandon Valenzuela, Bryan Reynolds, Jesús Sánchez, Kazuma Okamoto, Riley Greene, Wenceel Pérez, Wilyer Abreu
🎲 Solid PP Parlays (8-25x)

🎰 Solid Power Play Parlays3 suggestedlineup-gated · scratches auto-removed

Auto-built using top Mispriced Demons (L10 ≥ 70%) + top Green Locks (L10 ≥ 85%). Different games for uncorrelation · max 2 same-team · scratched players removed via MLB lineup card check. Universe: 5 Demons + 6 Locks tonight. Verify multiplier on PP app — PP adjusts when lineups shift.

🛡️ SAFEST
2-pick
3.0–5.0xpayout range
64.0% combined
EV $+0.92–$+2.20/$1
Lowest-leg-count Power Play. Both Demons at 70%+ L10 → combined hit prob is high. 13.5x boosted = 8-10x effective.
🔴 DEMWillson Contreras Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · MIN @ BOS
🔴 DEMSpencer Steer Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · STL @ CIN
$5 → $15–$25
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat
⚖️ BALANCED
4-pick
6.0–10.8xpayout range
51.8% combined
EV $+2.11–$+4.60/$1
2 Demons anchor for multiplier, 2 Locks as insurance. If 1 Demon misses, the Locks still gives partial payout via PP's 'win contest or 5 of 5' refund.
🔴 DEMWillson Contreras Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · MIN @ BOS
🔴 DEMSpencer Steer Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · STL @ CIN
🟢 GOBAdolis García Hitter Strikeouts MORE 0.5
9/10 L10 (90%) · CLE @ PHI
🟢 GOBSpencer Horwitz Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
9/10 L10 (90%) · TOR @ PIT
$5 → $30–$54
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat
🚀 HUNGRY
5-pick
9.0–18.0xpayout range
41.5% combined
EV $+2.73–$+6.46/$1
Top 3 Demons + 2 Lock insurance. 22-35x payout potential. Even on 4/5 you get the contest refund. The 5/17 +$110 PP win was this structure.
🔴 DEMWillson Contreras Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · MIN @ BOS
🔴 DEMSpencer Steer Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · STL @ CIN
🔴 DEMJesús Sánchez Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · PIT @ TOR
🟢 GOBAdolis García Hitter Strikeouts MORE 0.5
9/10 L10 (90%) · CLE @ PHI
🟢 GOBSpencer Horwitz Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
9/10 L10 (90%) · TOR @ PIT
$5 → $45–$90
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat

⚾ MLB EdgeBoard + Pro V2

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+70.29 (130 picks)

⚽ WC EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$-6.46 (17 picks)

🎾 Tennis EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$-13.38 (28 picks)

🏈 NFL EdgeBoard (off-season — kickoff Sept 11) →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)
Money Slate · generated 2026-05-24 09:17:01 · meta-refresh every 120s · edgeboard-home.pages.dev
Picks aggregated from forecastcard_mirror{,_wc,_tennis}/paper_trades_*_2026-05-24.json