edgeboard
MONEY SLATE · LIVE
2026-07-25 06:24 PT · refreshed just now
PITCHERS NOW
VEGAS
LINEUPS
WEATHER NOW
KALSHI HR
PP EDGES NOW
ML EDGES
WC EDGES
TENNIS NOW
TOTAL PICKS
6
locked today
ELITE
0
top tier
STRONG
0
tier 2
REAL $ PLAN
$0
0 fires
Portfolio green — 7-day P&L = $-8.00. Stake plan unchanged.
Live Portfolio · today
SportP&LRecordLiveHealth
⚾ MLB$0.000W / 0L6 live(early)
⚽ WC$0.000W / 0L10 live(early)
🏈 NFL$0.000W / 0L12 live(early)
PORTFOLIO$0.000W / 0L28 live
Today's Fires — Real Money Plan 0 ranked
FULL REAL MONEY PLAN — $0 total stake · 0 fires
No real-money plays meeting threshold today.
Stay paper, build calibration data.

Line Movement & EV Screen CLV + vig-adj

No locked picks intersect line_history yet — CLV tracking will populate as the day progresses.
PrizePicks
Pitcher Plays
1st Inning
Parlays
Results
🟢 Green Locks · PP safe Power-Play floors

🟢 Green Locks20 players

PrizePicks 🟢 Goblins (lower lines, ~60% implied) and ⚪ Standards (~50% implied) where this player's L10 actual hit rate clears the line at 75%+. ⚠️ Do NOT stack 5-6 Goblins alone — PP pays only 4-5x on all-Goblin Power Plays (verified 2026-05-18). Use these as insurance legs in a Demon-anchored Power Play (3 Demons + 2 Locks → ~20x with high floor). See the suggested HYBRID combo below.

PlayerStat / variantLineL10 hit%Edge vs PPGame
Brandon Lowe PITHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCHC @ PIT
Brewer Hicklen ATL
also locks: Hitter Strikeouts
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (5/5)+40ppBAL @ ATL
Esmerlyn Valdez PITHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCHC @ PIT
Gabriel Moreno AZ
also locks: Total Bases, Hits
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppWSH @ AZ
Jake McCarthy COLHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppMIL @ COL
Jeremy Peña HOUHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCWS @ HOU
Josh Naylor SEAHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppTEX @ SEA
Ryan Waldschmidt AZHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppWSH @ AZ
Colt Emerson SEAHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppTEX @ SEA
Isaac Paredes HOUHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppCWS @ HOU
Kyle Stowers MIAHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppSD @ MIA
Masataka Yoshida BOSHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppTOR @ BOS
Suggested 5-leg HYBRID Power Play
3 Demons (high multiplier) + 2 Green Lock insurance. ~51% combined hit prob × ~20x = EV +$9.24/$1 stake. All-Goblin stacks pay 4-5x (garbage); hybrid pays 20x+ when Demons are real.
🔴 Tyler Locklear · Hits+Runs+RBIs 80%🔴 Brewer Hicklen · Hits+Runs+RBIs 80%🔴 Francisco Alvarez · Hits+Runs+RBIs 80%🟢 Brandon Lowe · Hitter Strikeouts 100%🟢 Jake McCarthy · Hits+Runs+RBIs 100%
Open PrizePicks →
🎁 Mispriced Demons · PrizePicks gift detector

🎁 Mispriced PP Demons15 candidates

PP prices these as ~40% (Demon variant = ~2x multiplier) but our model says they clear at the % shown. Today's 5/17 $110 win came from stacking 4 of these. Build a 3-4-leg Power Play on PrizePicks — pick from different games for uncorrelation. Verify multiplier on the app.

PlayerStat / variantLineEst hit%Edge vs PPGame
Tyler Locklear AZHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.580% (4/5)+40.0ppWSH @ AZ
Brewer Hicklen ATLHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.580% (4/5)+40.0ppBAL @ ATL
Tommy White ATHTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.567% (4/6)+26.7ppMIN @ ATH
Isaac Collins KCHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppDET @ KC
Heriberto Hernández MIATotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppSD @ MIA
Vinnie Pasquantino KCHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppDET @ KC
Willson Contreras BOSTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppTOR @ BOS
Francisco Alvarez NYMHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.580% (8/10)+40.0ppLAD @ NYM
Gabriel Moreno AZHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.570% (7/10)+30.0ppWSH @ AZ
Nolan Arenado AZTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppWSH @ AZ
Esmerlyn Valdez PITTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppCHC @ PIT
Jake McCarthy COLHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppMIL @ COL
Suggested 4-leg Power Play (different games)
Tyler Locklear · Hits+Runs+RBIsBrewer Hicklen · Hits+Runs+RBIsTommy White · Total BasesIsaac Collins · Hits+Runs+RBIs
Open PrizePicks →
🎯 Total Bases Best Picks

🎯 Total Bases Best Pickstop 8 composite-ranked

Today's TB board: 1176 🔴 Demons / 256 🟢 Goblins / 40 Standards. Composite score = 30% form + 25% pitcher matchup + 25% barrel + 15% park + 5% sample density. COLDs auto-skipped. Lineup-gated (scratches removed).

#PlayerLineSidePA14L10ScoreWhy
1James Wood
WSH
1.5MORE483/10 30%80.0Elite bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · facing vulnerable Bratt (5.31 ERA)
2Ryan Jeffers
MIN
1.5MORE334/8 50%76.1Above-avg bat · hitting it hard · facing vulnerable Barnett (5.18 ERA)
3Drake Baldwin🔥 HOT
ATL
1.5MORE516/10 60%75.4Great bat 🔥 · on hot streak (10% HR rate) · crushing the ball · facing average Young
4CJ Abrams🔥 HOT
WSH
1.5MORE446/10 60%72.6Solid bat · on hot streak (9% HR rate) · hitting it hard · facing vulnerable Bratt (5.31 E
5Miguel Vargas
CWS
1.5MORE445/10 50%70.6Great bat 🔥 · hitting it hard · facing average Brown
6Heliot Ramos
SF
1.5MORE423/10 30%70.0Solid bat · crushing the ball · facing vulnerable Johnson (4.62 ERA)
7Riley Greene
DET
1.5MORE444/10 40%69.4Above-avg bat · hitting it hard · facing average Wacha
8Bryce Harper
PHI
1.5MORE424/10 40%69.3Great bat 🔥 · hitting it hard · facing vulnerable Weathers (4.56 ERA)
Auto-faded (caught by gates):
Vinnie Pasquantino, Michael Massey, Nick Loftin, Ildemaro Vargas, Zach Neto, Jorge Soler, Mike Trout, Nolan Schanuel
🎲 Solid PP Parlays (8-25x)

🎰 Solid Power Play Parlays3 suggestedlineup-gated · scratches auto-removed

Auto-built using top Mispriced Demons (L10 ≥ 70%) + top Green Locks (L10 ≥ 85%). Different games for uncorrelation · max 2 same-team · scratched players removed via MLB lineup card check. Universe: 9 Demons + 17 Locks tonight. Verify multiplier on PP app — PP adjusts when lineups shift.

🛡️ SAFEST
2-pick
3.0–5.0xpayout range
64.0% combined
EV $+0.92–$+2.20/$1
Lowest-leg-count Power Play. Both Demons at 70%+ L10 → combined hit prob is high. 13.5x boosted = 8-10x effective.
🔴 DEMTyler Locklear Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
4/5 L10 (80%) · WSH @ AZ
🔴 DEMBrewer Hicklen Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 2.5
4/5 L10 (80%) · BAL @ ATL
$5 → $15–$25
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat
⚖️ BALANCED
4-pick
6.0–10.8xpayout range
64.0% combined
EV $+2.84–$+5.91/$1
2 Demons anchor for multiplier, 2 Locks as insurance. If 1 Demon misses, the Locks still gives partial payout via PP's 'win contest or 5 of 5' refund.
🔴 DEMTyler Locklear Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
4/5 L10 (80%) · WSH @ AZ
🔴 DEMBrewer Hicklen Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 2.5
4/5 L10 (80%) · BAL @ ATL
🟢 GOBBrandon Lowe Hitter Strikeouts MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · CHC @ PIT
🟢 GOBJeremy Peña Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · CWS @ HOU
$5 → $30–$54
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat
🚀 HUNGRY
5-pick
9.0–18.0xpayout range
51.2% combined
EV $+3.61–$+8.22/$1
Top 3 Demons + 2 Lock insurance. 22-35x payout potential. Even on 4/5 you get the contest refund. The 5/17 +$110 PP win was this structure.
🔴 DEMTyler Locklear Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
4/5 L10 (80%) · WSH @ AZ
🔴 DEMBrewer Hicklen Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 2.5
4/5 L10 (80%) · BAL @ ATL
🔴 DEMFrancisco Alvarez Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · LAD @ NYM
🟢 GOBBrandon Lowe Hitter Strikeouts MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · CHC @ PIT
🟢 GOBJeremy Peña Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · CWS @ HOU
$5 → $45–$90
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat

⚾ MLB EdgeBoard + Pro V2

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$-8.00 (36 picks)

⚽ WC EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🎾 Tennis EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🏈 NFL EdgeBoard (off-season — kickoff Sept 11) →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)
Money Slate · generated 2026-07-25 06:24:25 · meta-refresh every 120s · edgeboard-home.pages.dev
Picks aggregated from forecastcard_mirror{,_wc,_tennis}/paper_trades_*_2026-07-25.json