edgeboard
MONEY SLATE · LIVE
2026-07-08 06:11 PT · refreshed just now
PITCHERS NOW
VEGAS
LINEUPS
WEATHER NOW
KALSHI HR
PP EDGES NOW
ML EDGES
WC EDGES
TENNIS NOW
TOTAL PICKS
15
locked today
ELITE
0
top tier
STRONG
0
tier 2
REAL $ PLAN
$0
0 fires
Portfolio green — 7-day P&L = $+16.12. Stake plan unchanged.
Live Portfolio · today
SportP&LRecordLiveHealth
⚾ MLB$0.000W / 0L15 live(early)
⚽ WC$0.000W / 0L10 live(early)
🏈 NFLno slate today
PORTFOLIO$0.000W / 0L25 live
Today's Fires — Real Money Plan 0 ranked
FULL REAL MONEY PLAN — $0 total stake · 0 fires
No real-money plays meeting threshold today.
Stay paper, build calibration data.

Line Movement & EV Screen CLV + vig-adj

No locked picks intersect line_history yet — CLV tracking will populate as the day progresses.
PrizePicks
Pitcher Plays
1st Inning
Parlays
Results
🟢 Green Locks · PP safe Power-Play floors

🟢 Green Locks19 players

PrizePicks 🟢 Goblins (lower lines, ~60% implied) and ⚪ Standards (~50% implied) where this player's L10 actual hit rate clears the line at 75%+. ⚠️ Do NOT stack 5-6 Goblins alone — PP pays only 4-5x on all-Goblin Power Plays (verified 2026-05-18). Use these as insurance legs in a Demon-anchored Power Play (3 Demons + 2 Locks → ~20x with high floor). See the suggested HYBRID combo below.

PlayerStat / variantLineL10 hit%Edge vs PPGame
Brandon Marsh PHIHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCIN @ PHI
Carlos Narváez BOSHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCWS @ BOS
Eugenio Suárez CINHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppPHI @ CIN
Liam Hicks MIA
also locks: Hits, Total Bases
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppSEA @ MIA
Mauricio Dubón ATLHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppPIT @ ATL
Austin Riley ATLHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppPIT @ ATL
Bryan Reynolds PITHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppATL @ PIT
Freddie Freeman LADHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppCOL @ LAD
Ian Happ CHCHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppBAL @ CHC
Kevin McGonigle DETHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppATH @ DET
Nick Kurtz ATHHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppDET @ ATH
Nicky Lopez TEXHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppLAA @ TEX
Suggested 5-leg HYBRID Power Play
3 Demons (high multiplier) + 2 Green Lock insurance. ~62% combined hit prob × ~20x = EV +$11.34/$1 stake. All-Goblin stacks pay 4-5x (garbage); hybrid pays 20x+ when Demons are real.
🔴 Victor Bericoto · Total Bases 90%🔴 Joshua Kuroda-Grauer · Hits+Runs+RBIs 86%🔴 Anthony Seigler · Hits+Runs+RBIs 80%🟢 Brandon Marsh · Hitter Strikeouts 100%🟢 Eugenio Suárez · Hitter Strikeouts 100%
Open PrizePicks →
🎁 Mispriced Demons · PrizePicks gift detector

🎁 Mispriced PP Demons15 candidates

PP prices these as ~40% (Demon variant = ~2x multiplier) but our model says they clear at the % shown. Today's 5/17 $110 win came from stacking 4 of these. Build a 3-4-leg Power Play on PrizePicks — pick from different games for uncorrelation. Verify multiplier on the app.

PlayerStat / variantLineEst hit%Edge vs PPGame
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer ATHHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.586% (6/7)+45.7ppDET @ ATH
Zack Gelof ATHHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppDET @ ATH
Rafael Devers SFHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppTOR @ SF
Trent Grisham NYYHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppTB @ NYY
Josh Bell MINTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppCLE @ MIN
TJ Rumfield COLHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppLAD @ COL
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHCTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppBAL @ CHC
Bryson Stott PHIHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppCIN @ PHI
Anthony Seigler BOSHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.580% (8/10)+40.0ppCWS @ BOS
Victor Bericoto SFTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON0.590% (9/10)+50.0ppTOR @ SF
Liam Hicks MIAHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.580% (8/10)+40.0ppSEA @ MIA
Mauricio Dubón ATLTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppPIT @ ATL
Suggested 4-leg Power Play (different games)
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer · Hits+Runs+RBIsRafael Devers · Hits+Runs+RBIsTrent Grisham · Hits+Runs+RBIsJosh Bell · Total Bases
Open PrizePicks →
🎯 Total Bases Best Picks

🎯 Total Bases Best Pickstop 8 composite-ranked

Today's TB board: 1144 🔴 Demons / 258 🟢 Goblins / 39 Standards. Composite score = 30% form + 25% pitcher matchup + 25% barrel + 15% park + 5% sample density. COLDs auto-skipped. Lineup-gated (scratches removed).

#PlayerLineSidePA14L10ScoreWhy
1Garrett Mitchell🔥 HOT
MIL
1.5MORE467/10 70%78.1Solid bat · on hot streak (7% HR rate) · crushing the ball · facing BP-arm McGreevy (5.59
2Riley Greene🔥 HOT
DET
1.5MORE536/10 60%77.7Above-avg bat · on hot streak (8% HR rate) · hitting it hard · facing vulnerable Springs (
3James Wood
WSH
1.5MORE687/10 70%77.6Elite bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · facing vulnerable Arrighetti (4.71 ERA)
4Jackson Chourio
MIL
1.5MORE673/10 30%75.1Solid bat · hitting it hard · facing BP-arm McGreevy (5.59 recent ERA)
5Willson Contreras
BOS
1.5MORE548/10 80%75.0Great bat 🔥 · hitting it hard · facing average Martin
6Esmerlyn Valdez
PIT
1.5MORE546/10 60%73.7Above-avg bat · crushing the ball · facing vulnerable Holmes (4.61 ERA)
7Jac Caglianone
KC
1.5MORE534/10 40%73.6Above-avg bat · crushing the ball · facing vulnerable Scott (4.74 ERA)
8Yordan Alvarez
HOU
1.5MORE594/10 40%73.1Elite bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · facing average Griffin
Primary: 3-leg Triple-Threat (5x payout est)
Standard 3-leg = 5x. $5 → $25. Lowest risk.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Riley GreeneTotal Bases1.5MORE6/10 60%ATH @ DET
2James WoodTotal Bases1.5MORE7/10 70%HOU @ WSH
3Jackson ChourioTotal Bases1.5MORE3/10 30%STL @ MIL
Why:
  • 3 separate games (ATH @ DET / HOU @ WSH / STL @ MIL) → zero same-game correlation
  • All 3 have PA14 ≥ 50 → dense data, gate-approved
  • All face vulnerable pitchers (xFIP / recent ERA ≥ 4.40)
  • All HOT batters with high HR/PA rates
📐 Math (Flex 3-leg)
Break-even/leg: 57.74% · Our avg L10: 53% · need 57.7% per leg
Expected payout: 0.81x (EV $-0.19/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
3/313%3.0x
2/343%1.0x
Upside: 4-leg add (10x payout est)
Standard 4-leg = 10x. $5 → $50. Same thesis + 1 more game.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Riley GreeneTotal Bases1.5MORE6/10 60%ATH @ DET
2James WoodTotal Bases1.5MORE7/10 70%HOU @ WSH
3Jackson ChourioTotal Bases1.5MORE3/10 30%STL @ MIL
4Willson ContrerasTotal Bases1.5MORE8/10 80%CWS @ BOS
Why:
  • Add Willson Contreras at CWS @ BOS
  • 4 separate games — still uncorrelated
  • Same dense-data + HOT-bat thesis as primary
📐 Math (Flex 4-leg)
Break-even/leg: 55.03% · Our avg L10: 60% · math says +EV ✓
Expected payout: 1.16x (EV +$0.16/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
4/410%6.0x
3/437%1.5x
Auto-faded (caught by gates):
George Springer, Ernie Clement, Casey Schmitt, Andrés Giménez, Adley Rutschman, Carson Kelly, Ian Happ, Pete Alonso
🎲 Solid PP Parlays (8-25x)

🎰 Solid Power Play Parlays3 suggestedlineup-gated · scratches auto-removed

Auto-built using top Mispriced Demons (L10 ≥ 70%) + top Green Locks (L10 ≥ 85%). Different games for uncorrelation · max 2 same-team · scratched players removed via MLB lineup card check. Universe: 11 Demons + 14 Locks tonight. Verify multiplier on PP app — PP adjusts when lineups shift.

🛡️ SAFEST
2-pick
3.0–5.0xpayout range
77.1% combined
EV $+1.31–$+2.86/$1
Lowest-leg-count Power Play. Both Demons at 70%+ L10 → combined hit prob is high. 13.5x boosted = 8-10x effective.
🔴 DEMVictor Bericoto Total Bases MORE 0.5
9/10 L10 (90%) · TOR @ SF
🔴 DEMJoshua Kuroda-Grauer Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
6/7 L10 (86%) · DET @ ATH
$5 → $15–$25
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat
⚖️ BALANCED
4-pick
6.0–10.8xpayout range
77.1% combined
EV $+3.63–$+7.33/$1
2 Demons anchor for multiplier, 2 Locks as insurance. If 1 Demon misses, the Locks still gives partial payout via PP's 'win contest or 5 of 5' refund.
🔴 DEMVictor Bericoto Total Bases MORE 0.5
9/10 L10 (90%) · TOR @ SF
🔴 DEMJoshua Kuroda-Grauer Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
6/7 L10 (86%) · DET @ ATH
🟢 GOBLiam Hicks Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · SEA @ MIA
🟢 GOBMauricio Dubón Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · PIT @ ATL
$5 → $30–$54
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat
🚀 HUNGRY
5-pick
9.0–18.0xpayout range
61.7% combined
EV $+4.55–$+10.11/$1
Top 3 Demons + 2 Lock insurance. 22-35x payout potential. Even on 4/5 you get the contest refund. The 5/17 +$110 PP win was this structure.
🔴 DEMVictor Bericoto Total Bases MORE 0.5
9/10 L10 (90%) · TOR @ SF
🔴 DEMJoshua Kuroda-Grauer Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
6/7 L10 (86%) · DET @ ATH
🔴 DEMAnthony Seigler Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · CWS @ BOS
🟢 GOBLiam Hicks Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · SEA @ MIA
🟢 GOBMauricio Dubón Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · PIT @ ATL
$5 → $45–$90
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat

⚾ MLB EdgeBoard + Pro V2

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+16.12 (40 picks)

⚽ WC EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🎾 Tennis EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🏈 NFL EdgeBoard (off-season — kickoff Sept 11) →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)
Money Slate · generated 2026-07-08 06:11:27 · meta-refresh every 120s · edgeboard-home.pages.dev
Picks aggregated from forecastcard_mirror{,_wc,_tennis}/paper_trades_*_2026-07-08.json