edgeboard
MONEY SLATE · LIVE
2026-06-16 10:45 PT · refreshed just now
PITCHERS NOW
VEGAS
LINEUPS
WEATHER NOW
KALSHI HR
PP EDGES NOW
ML EDGES
WC EDGES NOW
TENNIS NOW
TOTAL PICKS
14
locked today
ELITE
0
top tier
STRONG
0
tier 2
REAL $ PLAN
$0
0 fires
Portfolio green — 7-day P&L = $+2.45. Stake plan unchanged.
Live Portfolio · today
SportP&LRecordLiveHealth
⚾ MLB$0.000W / 0L10 live(early)
⚽ WC$0.000W / 0L10 live(early)
🏈 NFLno slate today
PORTFOLIO$0.000W / 0L20 live
Today's Fires — Real Money Plan 0 ranked
FULL REAL MONEY PLAN — $0 total stake · 0 fires
No real-money plays meeting threshold today.
Stay paper, build calibration data.

Line Movement & EV Screen CLV + vig-adj

No locked picks intersect line_history yet — CLV tracking will populate as the day progresses.
PrizePicks
Pitcher Plays
1st Inning
Parlays
Results
🟢 Green Locks · PP safe Power-Play floors

🟢 Green Locks14 players

PrizePicks 🟢 Goblins (lower lines, ~60% implied) and ⚪ Standards (~50% implied) where this player's L10 actual hit rate clears the line at 75%+. ⚠️ Do NOT stack 5-6 Goblins alone — PP pays only 4-5x on all-Goblin Power Plays (verified 2026-05-18). Use these as insurance legs in a Demon-anchored Power Play (3 Demons + 2 Locks → ~20x with high floor). See the suggested HYBRID combo below.

PlayerStat / variantLineL10 hit%Edge vs PPGame
Cal Raleigh SEAHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppBAL @ SEA
Ian Happ CHCHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCOL @ CHC
Kazuma Okamoto TORHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppBOS @ TOR
Yordan Alvarez HOUHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppDET @ HOU
Zack Gelof ATH
also locks: Hits, Total Bases
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppPIT @ ATH
Chase Meidroth CWS
also locks: Hits, Total Bases
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppNYY @ CWS
Jacob Wilson ATHHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppPIT @ ATH
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppCOL @ CHC
Rafael Devers SFHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppATL @ SF
Troy Johnston COLHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppCHC @ COL
Samad Taylor SD
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.588% (7/8)+28ppSTL @ SD
Jung Hoo Lee SF
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.580% (8/10)+20ppATL @ SF
Suggested 5-leg HYBRID Power Play
3 Demons (high multiplier) + 2 Green Lock insurance. ~58% combined hit prob × ~20x = EV +$10.52/$1 stake. All-Goblin stacks pay 4-5x (garbage); hybrid pays 20x+ when Demons are real.
🔴 Paul Goldschmidt · Hits+Runs+RBIs 90%🔴 Braden Montgomery · Hits+Runs+RBIs 80%🔴 Alec Burleson · Total Bases 80%🟢 Cal Raleigh · Hitter Strikeouts 100%🟢 Ian Happ · Hitter Strikeouts 100%
Open PrizePicks →
🎁 Mispriced Demons · PrizePicks gift detector

🎁 Mispriced PP Demons15 candidates

PP prices these as ~40% (Demon variant = ~2x multiplier) but our model says they clear at the % shown. Today's 5/17 $110 win came from stacking 4 of these. Build a 3-4-leg Power Play on PrizePicks — pick from different games for uncorrelation. Verify multiplier on the app.

PlayerStat / variantLineEst hit%Edge vs PPGame
Braden Montgomery CWSHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.580% (4/5)+40.0ppNYY @ CWS
Samad Taylor SDHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.575% (6/8)+35.0ppSTL @ SD
Paul Goldschmidt NYYHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.590% (9/10)+50.0ppCWS @ NYY
Shohei Ohtani LADTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppTB @ LAD
Noelvi Marte CINHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.567% (6/9)+26.7ppNYM @ CIN
Chase Meidroth CWSHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppNYY @ CWS
Taylor Ward BALHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppSEA @ BAL
Keibert Ruiz WSHHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppKC @ WSH
Alec Burleson STLTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.580% (8/10)+40.0ppSD @ STL
Kazuma Okamoto TORTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppBOS @ TOR
Kody Clemens MINTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppTEX @ MIN
Blaze Alexander BALTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppSEA @ BAL
Suggested 4-leg Power Play (different games)
Braden Montgomery · Hits+Runs+RBIsSamad Taylor · Hits+Runs+RBIsPaul Goldschmidt · Hits+Runs+RBIsShohei Ohtani · Total Bases
Open PrizePicks →
🎯 Total Bases Best Picks

🎯 Total Bases Best Pickstop 8 composite-ranked

Today's TB board: 1148 🔴 Demons / 247 🟢 Goblins / 36 Standards. Composite score = 30% form + 25% pitcher matchup + 25% barrel + 15% park + 5% sample density. COLDs auto-skipped. Lineup-gated (scratches removed).

#PlayerLineSidePA14L10ScoreWhy
1Juan Soto
NYM
1.5MORE514/10 40%80.4Elite bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · facing BP-arm Singer (5.80 recent ERA)
2Michael Harris II
ATL
1.5MORE416/10 60%78.0Great bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · facing vulnerable Houser (5.44 ERA)
3Matt Olson
ATL
0.5MORE478/10 80%76.9Above-avg bat · hitting it hard · facing vulnerable Houser (5.44 ERA)
4Nick Kurtz🔥 HOT
ATH
1.5MORE616/10 60%75.3Elite bat 🔥 · on hot streak (13% HR rate) · crushing the ball
5Spencer Steer🔥 HOT
CIN
1.5MORE442/10 20%74.7Above-avg bat · on hot streak (7% HR rate) · hitting it hard · hitter-friendly park
6Shohei Ohtani🔥 HOT
LAD
1.5MORE547/10 70%74.3Elite bat 🔥 · on hot streak (7% HR rate) · crushing the ball
7Jackson Chourio🔥 HOT
MIL
1.5MORE587/10 70%74.0Above-avg bat · on hot streak (12% HR rate) · crushing the ball · facing average Cecconi
8James Wood
WSH
1.5MORE546/10 60%73.3Elite bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · facing average Wacha
Primary: 3-leg Triple-Threat (5x payout est)
Standard 3-leg = 5x. $5 → $25. Lowest risk.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Juan SotoTotal Bases1.5MORE4/10 40%CIN @ NYM
2Nick KurtzTotal Bases1.5MORE6/10 60%PIT @ ATH
3Shohei OhtaniTotal Bases1.5MORE7/10 70%TB @ LAD
Why:
  • 3 separate games (CIN @ NYM / PIT @ ATH / TB @ LAD) → zero same-game correlation
  • All 3 have PA14 ≥ 50 → dense data, gate-approved
  • All face vulnerable pitchers (xFIP / recent ERA ≥ 4.40)
  • All HOT batters with high HR/PA rates
📐 Math (Flex 3-leg)
Break-even/leg: 57.74% · Our avg L10: 57% · need 57.7% per leg
Expected payout: 0.94x (EV $-0.06/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
3/317%3.0x
2/344%1.0x
Upside: 4-leg add (10x payout est)
Standard 4-leg = 10x. $5 → $50. Same thesis + 1 more game.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Juan SotoTotal Bases1.5MORE4/10 40%CIN @ NYM
2Nick KurtzTotal Bases1.5MORE6/10 60%PIT @ ATH
3Shohei OhtaniTotal Bases1.5MORE7/10 70%TB @ LAD
4Jackson ChourioTotal Bases1.5MORE7/10 70%CLE @ MIL
Why:
  • Add Jackson Chourio at CLE @ MIL
  • 4 separate games — still uncorrelated
  • Same dense-data + HOT-bat thesis as primary
📐 Math (Flex 4-leg)
Break-even/leg: 55.03% · Our avg L10: 60% · math says +EV ✓
Expected payout: 1.24x (EV +$0.24/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
4/412%6.0x
3/436%1.5x
Auto-faded (caught by gates):
Kyle Schwarber, Bryson Stott, Xavier Edwards, Liam Hicks, Trea Turner, Bobby Witt Jr., Salvador Perez, Jacob Young
🎲 Solid PP Parlays (8-25x)

🎰 Solid Power Play Parlays3 suggestedlineup-gated · scratches auto-removed

Auto-built using top Mispriced Demons (L10 ≥ 70%) + top Green Locks (L10 ≥ 85%). Different games for uncorrelation · max 2 same-team · scratched players removed via MLB lineup card check. Universe: 10 Demons + 11 Locks tonight. Verify multiplier on PP app — PP adjusts when lineups shift.

🛡️ SAFEST
2-pick
3.0–5.0xpayout range
72.0% combined
EV $+1.16–$+2.60/$1
Lowest-leg-count Power Play. Both Demons at 70%+ L10 → combined hit prob is high. 13.5x boosted = 8-10x effective.
🔴 DEMPaul Goldschmidt Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
9/10 L10 (90%) · CWS @ NYY
🔴 DEMBraden Montgomery Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
4/5 L10 (80%) · NYY @ CWS
$5 → $15–$25
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat
⚖️ BALANCED
4-pick
6.0–10.8xpayout range
72.0% combined
EV $+3.32–$+6.78/$1
2 Demons anchor for multiplier, 2 Locks as insurance. If 1 Demon misses, the Locks still gives partial payout via PP's 'win contest or 5 of 5' refund.
🔴 DEMPaul Goldschmidt Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
9/10 L10 (90%) · CWS @ NYY
🔴 DEMBraden Montgomery Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
4/5 L10 (80%) · NYY @ CWS
🟢 GOBZack Gelof Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · PIT @ ATH
🟢 GOBKazuma Okamoto Hitter Strikeouts MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · BOS @ TOR
$5 → $30–$54
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat
🚀 HUNGRY
5-pick
9.0–18.0xpayout range
57.6% combined
EV $+4.18–$+9.37/$1
Top 3 Demons + 2 Lock insurance. 22-35x payout potential. Even on 4/5 you get the contest refund. The 5/17 +$110 PP win was this structure.
🔴 DEMPaul Goldschmidt Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
9/10 L10 (90%) · CWS @ NYY
🔴 DEMBraden Montgomery Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
4/5 L10 (80%) · NYY @ CWS
🔴 DEMAlec Burleson Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · SD @ STL
🟢 GOBZack Gelof Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · PIT @ ATH
🟢 GOBKazuma Okamoto Hitter Strikeouts MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · BOS @ TOR
$5 → $45–$90
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat

⚾ MLB EdgeBoard + Pro V2

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+2.45 (117 picks)

⚽ WC EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🎾 Tennis EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🏈 NFL EdgeBoard (off-season — kickoff Sept 11) →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)
Money Slate · generated 2026-06-16 10:45:10 · meta-refresh every 120s · edgeboard-home.pages.dev
Picks aggregated from forecastcard_mirror{,_wc,_tennis}/paper_trades_*_2026-06-16.json