edgeboard
MONEY SLATE · LIVE
2026-06-17 06:18 PT · refreshed just now
PITCHERS NOW
VEGAS
LINEUPS
WEATHER NOW
KALSHI HR
PP EDGES NOW
ML EDGES
WC EDGES NOW
TENNIS NOW
TOTAL PICKS
0
locked today
ELITE
0
top tier
STRONG
0
tier 2
REAL $ PLAN
$0
0 fires
Portfolio green — 7-day P&L = $+16.40. Stake plan unchanged.
Live Portfolio · today
SportP&LRecordLiveHealth
⚾ MLBno slate today
⚽ WC$0.000W / 0L10 live(early)
🏈 NFLno slate today
PORTFOLIO$0.000W / 0L10 live
Today's Fires — Real Money Plan 0 ranked
FULL REAL MONEY PLAN — $0 total stake · 0 fires
No real-money plays meeting threshold today.
Stay paper, build calibration data.

Line Movement & EV Screen CLV + vig-adj

No locked picks intersect line_history yet — CLV tracking will populate as the day progresses.
PrizePicks
Pitcher Plays
1st Inning
Parlays
Results
🟢 Green Locks · PP safe Power-Play floors

🟢 Green Locks16 players

PrizePicks 🟢 Goblins (lower lines, ~60% implied) and ⚪ Standards (~50% implied) where this player's L10 actual hit rate clears the line at 75%+. ⚠️ Do NOT stack 5-6 Goblins alone — PP pays only 4-5x on all-Goblin Power Plays (verified 2026-05-18). Use these as insurance legs in a Demon-anchored Power Play (3 Demons + 2 Locks → ~20x with high floor). See the suggested HYBRID combo below.

PlayerStat / variantLineL10 hit%Edge vs PPGame
Ezequiel Tovar COLHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCHC @ COL
Ian Happ CHCHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCOL @ CHC
Miles Mastrobuoni SEAHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (6/6)+40ppBAL @ SEA
Spencer Torkelson DETHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppHOU @ DET
Yordan Alvarez HOUHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppDET @ HOU
Zack Gelof ATH
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppPIT @ ATH
Cal Raleigh SEAHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppBAL @ SEA
Christian Walker HOUHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppDET @ HOU
Jacob Wilson ATHHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppPIT @ ATH
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppCOL @ CHC
Samad Taylor SD
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.589% (8/9)+29ppSTL @ SD
Cole Carrigg COLHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.588% (7/8)+28ppCHC @ COL
Suggested 5-leg HYBRID Power Play
3 Demons (high multiplier) + 2 Green Lock insurance. ~34% combined hit prob × ~20x = EV +$5.86/$1 stake. All-Goblin stacks pay 4-5x (garbage); hybrid pays 20x+ when Demons are real.
🔴 Willi Castro · Total Bases 70%🔴 Yainer Diaz · Hits+Runs+RBIs 70%🔴 Zack Gelof · Total Bases 70%🟢 Ian Happ · Hitter Strikeouts 100%🟢 Miles Mastrobuoni · Hitter Strikeouts 100%
Open PrizePicks →
🎁 Mispriced Demons · PrizePicks gift detector

🎁 Mispriced PP Demons15 candidates

PP prices these as ~40% (Demon variant = ~2x multiplier) but our model says they clear at the % shown. Today's 5/17 $110 win came from stacking 4 of these. Build a 3-4-leg Power Play on PrizePicks — pick from different games for uncorrelation. Verify multiplier on the app.

PlayerStat / variantLineEst hit%Edge vs PPGame
Noelvi Marte CINHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.567% (6/9)+26.7ppNYM @ CIN
Willi Castro COLTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppCHC @ COL
Brandon Marsh PHITotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppMIA @ PHI
Yainer Diaz HOUHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppDET @ HOU
Cole Carrigg COLTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.562% (5/8)+22.5ppCHC @ COL
Zack Gelof ATHTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppPIT @ ATH
Kameron Misner KCHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (3/5)+20.0ppWSH @ KC
Blaze Jordan STLHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.560% (3/5)+20.0ppSD @ STL
Blaze Jordan STLTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (3/5)+20.0ppSD @ STL
Cole Young SEAHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppBAL @ SEA
Bo Bichette NYMHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.570% (7/10)+30.0ppCIN @ NYM
Kazuma Okamoto TORTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppBOS @ TOR
Suggested 4-leg Power Play (different games)
Noelvi Marte · Hits+Runs+RBIsWilli Castro · Total BasesBrandon Marsh · Total BasesYainer Diaz · Hits+Runs+RBIs
Open PrizePicks →
🎯 Total Bases Best Picks

🎯 Total Bases Best Pickstop 8 composite-ranked

Today's TB board: 908 🔴 Demons / 227 🟢 Goblins / 34 Standards. Composite score = 30% form + 25% pitcher matchup + 25% barrel + 15% park + 5% sample density. COLDs auto-skipped. Lineup-gated (scratches removed).

#PlayerLineSidePA14L10ScoreWhy
1Bryce Eldridge
SF
1.5MORE505/10 50%68.5Elite bat 🔥 · hitting it hard · facing average Ritchie
2Matt Olson
ATL
0.5MORE477/10 70%66.9Above-avg bat · hitting it hard
3Casey Schmitt
SF
1.5MORE583/10 30%62.2Solid bat · hitting it hard · facing average Ritchie
4Matt Chapman🔥 HOT
SF
1.5MORE515/10 50%56.8Below-avg bat · on hot streak (10% HR rate) · facing average Ritchie
5Dominic Smith
ATL
1.5MORE381/10 10%54.3Solid bat
6Willy Adames🔥 HOT
SF
1.5MORE472/10 20%54.2Below-avg bat · on hot streak (6% HR rate) · facing average Ritchie
7Rafael Devers
SF
1.5MORE564/10 40%51.4Below-avg bat · facing average Ritchie
8Mauricio Dubón🔥 HOT
ATL
1.5MORE433/10 30%49.5Below-avg bat · on hot streak (7% HR rate)
High-upside: 4-leg same-game stack (correlated)
All 4 from ATL @ SF — bigger upside, bigger variance.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Bryce EldridgeTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%ATL @ SF
2Casey SchmittTotal Bases1.5MORE3/10 30%ATL @ SF
3Matt ChapmanTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%ATL @ SF
4Willy AdamesTotal Bases1.5MORE2/10 20%ATL @ SF
Why:
  • 4 batters from ATL @ SF → correlated
  • If the pitcher gets shelled, all legs hit together
  • If pitcher pitches a gem, all die together
📐 Math (Flex 4-leg)
Break-even/leg: 55.03% · Our avg L10: 38% · need 55.0% per leg
Expected payout: 0.28x (EV $-0.72/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
4/42%6.0x
3/412%1.5x
Auto-faded (caught by gates):
Austin Riley, Mike Yastrzemski, Drew Gilbert

⚾ MLB EdgeBoard + Pro V2

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+16.40 (109 picks)

⚽ WC EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🎾 Tennis EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🏈 NFL EdgeBoard (off-season — kickoff Sept 11) →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)
Money Slate · generated 2026-06-17 06:18:10 · meta-refresh every 120s · edgeboard-home.pages.dev
Picks aggregated from forecastcard_mirror{,_wc,_tennis}/paper_trades_*_2026-06-17.json