edgeboard
MONEY SLATE · LIVE
2026-07-26 06:28 PT · refreshed just now
PITCHERS NOW
VEGAS
LINEUPS
WEATHER NOW
KALSHI HR
PP EDGES NOW
ML EDGES
WC EDGES
TENNIS NOW
TOTAL PICKS
0
locked today
ELITE
0
top tier
STRONG
0
tier 2
REAL $ PLAN
$0
0 fires
Portfolio green — 7-day P&L = $-7.00. Stake plan unchanged.
Live Portfolio · today
SportP&LRecordLiveHealth
⚾ MLBno slate today
⚽ WC$0.000W / 0L10 live(early)
🏈 NFL$0.000W / 0L12 live(early)
PORTFOLIO$0.000W / 0L22 live
Today's Fires — Real Money Plan 0 ranked
FULL REAL MONEY PLAN — $0 total stake · 0 fires
No real-money plays meeting threshold today.
Stay paper, build calibration data.

Line Movement & EV Screen CLV + vig-adj

No locked picks intersect line_history yet — CLV tracking will populate as the day progresses.
PrizePicks
Pitcher Plays
1st Inning
Parlays
Results
🟢 Green Locks · PP safe Power-Play floors

🟢 Green Locks20 players

PrizePicks 🟢 Goblins (lower lines, ~60% implied) and ⚪ Standards (~50% implied) where this player's L10 actual hit rate clears the line at 75%+. ⚠️ Do NOT stack 5-6 Goblins alone — PP pays only 4-5x on all-Goblin Power Plays (verified 2026-05-18). Use these as insurance legs in a Demon-anchored Power Play (3 Demons + 2 Locks → ~20x with high floor). See the suggested HYBRID combo below.

PlayerStat / variantLineL10 hit%Edge vs PPGame
Brandon Lowe PITHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCHC @ PIT
Brewer Hicklen ATLHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (6/6)+40ppBAL @ ATL
Esmerlyn Valdez PITHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCHC @ PIT
Gabriel Moreno AZ
also locks: Hits, Total Bases
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppWSH @ AZ
Isaac Paredes HOUHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCWS @ HOU
Jake McCarthy COL
also locks: Total Bases
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppMIL @ COL
Jeremy Peña HOUHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCWS @ HOU
Yordan Alvarez HOUHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCWS @ HOU
Cal Raleigh SEAHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppTEX @ SEA
Colt Emerson SEAHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppTEX @ SEA
Kyle Stowers MIAHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppSD @ MIA
Michael Harris II ATLHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppBAL @ ATL
Suggested 5-leg HYBRID Power Play
3 Demons (high multiplier) + 2 Green Lock insurance. ~34% combined hit prob × ~20x = EV +$5.86/$1 stake. All-Goblin stacks pay 4-5x (garbage); hybrid pays 20x+ when Demons are real.
🔴 Austin Hedges · Hits 70%🔴 Jake McCarthy · Hits+Runs+RBIs 70%🔴 Gabriel Moreno · Hits+Runs+RBIs 70%🟢 Brandon Lowe · Hitter Strikeouts 100%🟢 Brewer Hicklen · Hitter Strikeouts 100%
Open PrizePicks →
🎁 Mispriced Demons · PrizePicks gift detector

🎁 Mispriced PP Demons15 candidates

PP prices these as ~40% (Demon variant = ~2x multiplier) but our model says they clear at the % shown. Today's 5/17 $110 win came from stacking 4 of these. Build a 3-4-leg Power Play on PrizePicks — pick from different games for uncorrelation. Verify multiplier on the app.

PlayerStat / variantLineEst hit%Edge vs PPGame
Austin Hedges CLEHits 🔴 DEMON0.570% (7/10)+30.0ppTB @ CLE
Austin Hedges CLETotal Bases 🔴 DEMON0.570% (7/10)+30.0ppTB @ CLE
Brewer Hicklen ATLHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.567% (4/6)+26.7ppBAL @ ATL
Christian Encarnacion-Strand BALHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.567% (4/6)+26.7ppATL @ BAL
Brewer Hicklen ATLTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.567% (4/6)+26.7ppBAL @ ATL
Jake McCarthy COLHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppMIL @ COL
Vinnie Pasquantino KCHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppDET @ KC
Wyatt Langford TEXHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppSEA @ TEX
Brayan Rocchio CLEHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppTB @ CLE
Heriberto Hernández MIATotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppSD @ MIA
Gabriel Moreno AZHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.570% (7/10)+30.0ppWSH @ AZ
Seiya Suzuki CHCHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.570% (7/10)+30.0ppPIT @ CHC
Suggested 4-leg Power Play (different games)
Austin Hedges · HitsBrewer Hicklen · Hits+Runs+RBIsChristian Encarnacion-Strand · Hits+Runs+RBIsJake McCarthy · Hits+Runs+RBIs
Open PrizePicks →
🎯 Total Bases Best Picks

🎯 Total Bases Best Pickstop 4 composite-ranked

Today's TB board: 1154 🔴 Demons / 262 🟢 Goblins / 43 Standards. Composite score = 30% form + 25% pitcher matchup + 25% barrel + 15% park + 5% sample density. COLDs auto-skipped. Lineup-gated (scratches removed).

#PlayerLineSidePA14L10ScoreWhy
1Yandy Díaz
TB
1.5MORE563/10 30%48.1Solid bat · tough matchup — Messick (ace, 3.23 ERA)
2Jonny DeLuca
TB
1.5MORE315/10 50%34.8Below-avg bat · tough matchup — Messick (ace, 3.23 ERA)
3Ben Williamson
TB
1.5MORE334/10 40%34.0Below-avg bat · tough matchup — Messick (ace, 3.23 ERA)
4Chandler Simpson
TB
1.5MORE445/10 50%33.7Below-avg bat · tough matchup — Messick (ace, 3.23 ERA)
High-upside: 4-leg same-game stack (correlated)
All 4 from CLE @ TB — bigger upside, bigger variance.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Yandy DíazTotal Bases1.5MORE3/10 30%CLE @ TB
2Jonny DeLucaTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%CLE @ TB
3Ben WilliamsonTotal Bases1.5MORE4/10 40%CLE @ TB
4Chandler SimpsonTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%CLE @ TB
Why:
  • 4 batters from CLE @ TB → correlated
  • If the pitcher gets shelled, all legs hit together
  • If pitcher pitches a gem, all die together
📐 Math (Flex 4-leg)
Break-even/leg: 55.03% · Our avg L10: 42% · need 55.0% per leg
Expected payout: 0.44x (EV $-0.56/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
4/43%6.0x
3/418%1.5x
Auto-faded (caught by gates):
Junior Caminero

⚾ MLB EdgeBoard + Pro V2

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$-7.00 (35 picks)

⚽ WC EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🎾 Tennis EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🏈 NFL EdgeBoard (off-season — kickoff Sept 11) →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)
Money Slate · generated 2026-07-26 06:28:49 · meta-refresh every 120s · edgeboard-home.pages.dev
Picks aggregated from forecastcard_mirror{,_wc,_tennis}/paper_trades_*_2026-07-26.json