edgeboard
MONEY SLATE · LIVE
2026-06-17 09:15 PT · refreshed just now
PITCHERS NOW
VEGAS
LINEUPS
WEATHER NOW
KALSHI HR
PP EDGES NOW
ML EDGES
WC EDGES NOW
TENNIS NOW
TOTAL PICKS
0
locked today
ELITE
0
top tier
STRONG
0
tier 2
REAL $ PLAN
$0
0 fires
Portfolio green — 7-day P&L = $+16.40. Stake plan unchanged.
Live Portfolio · today
SportP&LRecordLiveHealth
⚾ MLBno slate today
⚽ WC$0.000W / 0L10 live(early)
🏈 NFLno slate today
PORTFOLIO$0.000W / 0L10 live
Today's Fires — Real Money Plan 0 ranked
FULL REAL MONEY PLAN — $0 total stake · 0 fires
No real-money plays meeting threshold today.
Stay paper, build calibration data.

Line Movement & EV Screen CLV + vig-adj

No locked picks intersect line_history yet — CLV tracking will populate as the day progresses.
PrizePicks
Pitcher Plays
1st Inning
Parlays
Results
🟢 Green Locks · PP safe Power-Play floors

🟢 Green Locks15 players

PrizePicks 🟢 Goblins (lower lines, ~60% implied) and ⚪ Standards (~50% implied) where this player's L10 actual hit rate clears the line at 75%+. ⚠️ Do NOT stack 5-6 Goblins alone — PP pays only 4-5x on all-Goblin Power Plays (verified 2026-05-18). Use these as insurance legs in a Demon-anchored Power Play (3 Demons + 2 Locks → ~20x with high floor). See the suggested HYBRID combo below.

PlayerStat / variantLineL10 hit%Edge vs PPGame
Alec Burleson STL
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppSD @ STL
Drake Baldwin ATLHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppSF @ ATL
Liam Hicks MIAHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppPHI @ MIA
Spencer Torkelson DETHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppHOU @ DET
Yordan Alvarez HOUHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppDET @ HOU
Bryce Eldridge SF
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppATL @ SF
Christian Walker HOUHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppDET @ HOU
James Wood WSH
also locks: Hitter Strikeouts, Hits
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppKC @ WSH
Kevin McGonigle DETHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppHOU @ DET
Luis Arraez SF
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppATL @ SF
Samad Taylor SD
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.589% (8/9)+29ppSTL @ SD
Eugenio Suárez CINHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.580% (8/10)+20ppNYM @ CIN
Suggested 5-leg HYBRID Power Play
3 Demons (high multiplier) + 2 Green Lock insurance. ~28% combined hit prob × ~20x = EV +$4.60/$1 stake. All-Goblin stacks pay 4-5x (garbage); hybrid pays 20x+ when Demons are real.
🔴 Bo Bichette · Hits+Runs+RBIs 70%🔴 Noelvi Marte · Hits+Runs+RBIs 67%🔴 Brandon Marsh · Total Bases 60%🟢 Alec Burleson · Hits 100%🟢 Drake Baldwin · Hits+Runs+RBIs 100%
Open PrizePicks →
🎁 Mispriced Demons · PrizePicks gift detector

🎁 Mispriced PP Demons10 candidates

PP prices these as ~40% (Demon variant = ~2x multiplier) but our model says they clear at the % shown. Today's 5/17 $110 win came from stacking 4 of these. Build a 3-4-leg Power Play on PrizePicks — pick from different games for uncorrelation. Verify multiplier on the app.

PlayerStat / variantLineEst hit%Edge vs PPGame
Noelvi Marte CINHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.567% (6/9)+26.7ppNYM @ CIN
Brandon Marsh PHITotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppMIA @ PHI
Blaze Jordan STLHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.560% (3/5)+20.0ppSD @ STL
Blaze Jordan STLTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (3/5)+20.0ppSD @ STL
Bo Bichette NYMHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.570% (7/10)+30.0ppCIN @ NYM
Jung Hoo Lee SFTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppATL @ SF
James Wood WSHHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.560% (6/10)+20.0ppKC @ WSH
Bo Bichette NYMHits 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppCIN @ NYM
Otto Lopez MIAHits 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppPHI @ MIA
JJ Wetherholt STLHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.560% (6/10)+20.0ppSD @ STL
Suggested 4-leg Power Play (different games)
Noelvi Marte · Hits+Runs+RBIsBrandon Marsh · Total BasesBlaze Jordan · Hits+Runs+RBIsBo Bichette · Hits+Runs+RBIs
Open PrizePicks →
🎯 Total Bases Best Picks

🎯 Total Bases Best Pickstop 8 composite-ranked

Today's TB board: 888 🔴 Demons / 216 🟢 Goblins / 36 Standards. Composite score = 30% form + 25% pitcher matchup + 25% barrel + 15% park + 5% sample density. COLDs auto-skipped. Lineup-gated (scratches removed).

#PlayerLineSidePA14L10ScoreWhy
1Juan Soto
NYM
0.5MORE526/10 60%80.4Elite bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · facing BP-arm Lodolo (6.14 recent ERA)
2James Wood
WSH
0.5MORE559/10 90%77.1Elite bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · facing vulnerable Avila (4.82 ERA)
3Jac Caglianone
KC
0.5MORE486/10 60%74.2Solid bat · hitting it hard · facing BP-arm Littell (6.37 recent ERA)
4Fernando Tatis Jr.🔥 HOT
SD
1.5MORE606/10 60%71.5Solid bat · on hot streak (2% HR rate) · hitting it hard · facing BP-arm Leahy (6.58 recen
5Curtis Mead
WSH
1.5MORE434/10 40%68.1Above-avg bat · hitting it hard · facing vulnerable Avila (4.82 ERA)
6Bryce Eldridge
SF
1.5MORE495/10 50%67.8Elite bat 🔥 · hitting it hard · facing average Ritchie
7Bo Bichette🔥 HOT
NYM
1.5MORE537/10 70%67.3Average bat · on hot streak (6% HR rate) · facing BP-arm Lodolo (6.14 recent ERA)
8Marcus Semien🔥 HOT
NYM
1.5MORE503/10 30%67.1Average bat · on hot streak (6% HR rate) · facing BP-arm Lodolo (6.14 recent ERA)
Primary: 3-leg Triple-Threat (5x payout est)
Standard 3-leg = 5x. $5 → $25. Lowest risk.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Juan SotoTotal Bases0.5MORE6/10 60%CIN @ NYM
2James WoodTotal Bases0.5MORE9/10 90%KC @ WSH
3Fernando Tatis Jr.Total Bases1.5MORE6/10 60%STL @ SD
Why:
  • 3 separate games (CIN @ NYM / KC @ WSH / STL @ SD) → zero same-game correlation
  • All 3 have PA14 ≥ 50 → dense data, gate-approved
  • All face vulnerable pitchers (xFIP / recent ERA ≥ 4.40)
  • All HOT batters with high HR/PA rates
📐 Math (Flex 3-leg)
Break-even/leg: 57.74% · Our avg L10: 70% · math says +EV ✓
Expected payout: 1.44x (EV +$0.44/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
3/332%3.0x
2/347%1.0x
Upside: 4-leg add (10x payout est)
Standard 4-leg = 10x. $5 → $50. Same thesis + 1 more game.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Juan SotoTotal Bases0.5MORE6/10 60%CIN @ NYM
2James WoodTotal Bases0.5MORE9/10 90%KC @ WSH
3Fernando Tatis Jr.Total Bases1.5MORE6/10 60%STL @ SD
4Kyle SchwarberTotal Bases0.5MORE7/10 70%MIA @ PHI
Why:
  • Add Kyle Schwarber at MIA @ PHI
  • 4 separate games — still uncorrelated
  • Same dense-data + HOT-bat thesis as primary
📐 Math (Flex 4-leg)
Break-even/leg: 55.03% · Our avg L10: 70% · math says +EV ✓
Expected payout: 2.00x (EV +$1.00/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
4/423%6.0x
3/442%1.5x
High-upside: 3-leg same-game stack (correlated)
All 3 from CIN @ NYM — bigger upside, bigger variance.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Juan SotoTotal Bases0.5MORE6/10 60%CIN @ NYM
2Bo BichetteTotal Bases1.5MORE7/10 70%CIN @ NYM
3Marcus SemienTotal Bases1.5MORE3/10 30%CIN @ NYM
Why:
  • 3 batters from CIN @ NYM → correlated
  • If the pitcher gets shelled, all legs hit together
  • If pitcher pitches a gem, all die together
📐 Math (Flex 3-leg)
Break-even/leg: 57.74% · Our avg L10: 53% · need 57.7% per leg
Expected payout: 0.81x (EV $-0.19/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
3/313%3.0x
2/343%1.0x
Auto-faded (caught by gates):
Nathaniel Lowe, Bobby Witt Jr., Salvador Perez, Bryce Harper, Bryson Stott, Otto Lopez, Trea Turner, Liam Hicks

⚾ MLB EdgeBoard + Pro V2

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+16.40 (109 picks)

⚽ WC EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🎾 Tennis EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🏈 NFL EdgeBoard (off-season — kickoff Sept 11) →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)
Money Slate · generated 2026-06-17 09:15:03 · meta-refresh every 120s · edgeboard-home.pages.dev
Picks aggregated from forecastcard_mirror{,_wc,_tennis}/paper_trades_*_2026-06-17.json