edgeboard
MONEY SLATE · LIVE
2026-06-15 06:20 PT · refreshed just now
PITCHERS NOW
VEGAS
LINEUPS
WEATHER NOW
KALSHI HR
PP EDGES NOW
ML EDGES
WC EDGES NOW
TENNIS NOW
TOTAL PICKS
12
locked today
ELITE
0
top tier
STRONG
0
tier 2
REAL $ PLAN
$0
0 fires
Portfolio green — 7-day P&L = $+6.01. Stake plan unchanged.
Live Portfolio · today
SportP&LRecordLiveHealth
⚾ MLB$0.000W / 0L12 live(early)
⚽ WC$0.000W / 0L10 live(early)
🏈 NFLno slate today
PORTFOLIO$0.000W / 0L22 live
Today's Fires — Real Money Plan 0 ranked
FULL REAL MONEY PLAN — $0 total stake · 0 fires
No real-money plays meeting threshold today.
Stay paper, build calibration data.

Line Movement & EV Screen CLV + vig-adj

No locked picks intersect line_history yet — CLV tracking will populate as the day progresses.
PrizePicks
Pitcher Plays
1st Inning
Parlays
Results
🟢 Green Locks · PP safe Power-Play floors

🟢 Green Locks16 players

PrizePicks 🟢 Goblins (lower lines, ~60% implied) and ⚪ Standards (~50% implied) where this player's L10 actual hit rate clears the line at 75%+. ⚠️ Do NOT stack 5-6 Goblins alone — PP pays only 4-5x on all-Goblin Power Plays (verified 2026-05-18). Use these as insurance legs in a Demon-anchored Power Play (3 Demons + 2 Locks → ~20x with high floor). See the suggested HYBRID combo below.

PlayerStat / variantLineL10 hit%Edge vs PPGame
Alec Burleson STL
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppSD @ STL
Ezequiel Tovar COLHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCHC @ COL
Ian Happ CHCHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCOL @ CHC
Kyle Tucker LADHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppTB @ LAD
Ryan Waldschmidt AZHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppLAA @ AZ
Troy Johnston COLHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCHC @ COL
Yordan Alvarez HOUHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppDET @ HOU
Zack Gelof ATH
also locks: Hits, Total Bases
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppPIT @ ATH
Carson Benge NYMHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppCIN @ NYM
Jacob Wilson ATHHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppPIT @ ATH
Josh Jung TEX
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppMIN @ TEX
Kyle Schwarber PHIHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppMIA @ PHI
Suggested 5-leg HYBRID Power Play
3 Demons (high multiplier) + 2 Green Lock insurance. ~48% combined hit prob × ~20x = EV +$8.60/$1 stake. All-Goblin stacks pay 4-5x (garbage); hybrid pays 20x+ when Demons are real.
🔴 Kody Clemens · Total Bases 80%🔴 Alec Burleson · Total Bases 80%🔴 Noelvi Marte · Hits+Runs+RBIs 75%🟢 Ezequiel Tovar · Hitter Strikeouts 100%🟢 Ian Happ · Hitter Strikeouts 100%
Open PrizePicks →
🎁 Mispriced Demons · PrizePicks gift detector

🎁 Mispriced PP Demons15 candidates

PP prices these as ~40% (Demon variant = ~2x multiplier) but our model says they clear at the % shown. Today's 5/17 $110 win came from stacking 4 of these. Build a 3-4-leg Power Play on PrizePicks — pick from different games for uncorrelation. Verify multiplier on the app.

PlayerStat / variantLineEst hit%Edge vs PPGame
Noelvi Marte CINHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.575% (6/8)+35.0ppNYM @ CIN
Samad Taylor SDHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.575% (6/8)+35.0ppSTL @ SD
Cole Carrigg COLTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.567% (4/6)+26.7ppCHC @ COL
Kody Clemens MINTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.580% (8/10)+40.0ppTEX @ MIN
Troy Johnston COLHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppCHC @ COL
Alec Burleson STLTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.580% (8/10)+40.0ppSD @ STL
Fernando Tatis Jr. SDTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppSTL @ SD
Josh Bell MINHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppTEX @ MIN
Hunter Goodman COLTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppCHC @ COL
Ketel Marte AZTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppLAA @ AZ
Tyler Callihan PITTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.556% (5/9)+15.6ppATH @ PIT
Jordan Walker STLTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.580% (8/10)+40.0ppSD @ STL
Suggested 4-leg Power Play (different games)
Noelvi Marte · Hits+Runs+RBIsSamad Taylor · Hits+Runs+RBIsCole Carrigg · Total BasesKody Clemens · Total Bases
Open PrizePicks →
🎯 Total Bases Best Picks

🎯 Total Bases Best Pickstop 8 composite-ranked

Today's TB board: 658 🔴 Demons / 173 🟢 Goblins / 26 Standards. Composite score = 30% form + 25% pitcher matchup + 25% barrel + 15% park + 5% sample density. COLDs auto-skipped. Lineup-gated (scratches removed).

#PlayerLineSidePA14L10ScoreWhy
1Jac Caglianone🔥 HOT
KC
1.5MORE535/10 50%74.6Solid bat · on hot streak (6% HR rate) · crushing the ball · facing vulnerable Alvarez (4.
2Nick Kurtz🔥 HOT
ATH
1.5MORE615/10 50%73.6Great bat 🔥 · on hot streak (10% HR rate) · crushing the ball
3James Wood
WSH
1.5MORE585/10 50%71.0Elite bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · facing vulnerable Spence (4.50 ERA)
4Shohei Ohtani
LAD
1.5MORE598/10 80%71.0Elite bat 🔥 · crushing the ball
5Yordan Alvarez
HOU
1.5MORE565/10 50%70.6Elite bat 🔥 · crushing the ball
6Hunter Goodman🔥 HOT
COL
1.5MORE606/10 60%68.7Below-avg bat · on hot streak (12% HR rate) · crushing the ball · hitter-friendly park
7Alec Burleson🔥 HOT
STL
1.5MORE598/10 80%68.3Great bat 🔥 · on hot streak (10% HR rate) · hitting it hard
8Dillon Dingler🔥 HOT
DET
1.5MORE504/10 40%67.8Great bat 🔥 · on hot streak (10% HR rate) · hitting it hard
Primary: 3-leg Triple-Threat (5x payout est)
Standard 3-leg = 5x. $5 → $25. Lowest risk.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Jac CaglianoneTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%WSH @ KC
2Nick KurtzTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%PIT @ ATH
3James WoodTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%KC @ WSH
Why:
  • 3 separate games (WSH @ KC / PIT @ ATH / KC @ WSH) → zero same-game correlation
  • All 3 have PA14 ≥ 50 → dense data, gate-approved
  • All face vulnerable pitchers (xFIP / recent ERA ≥ 4.40)
  • All HOT batters with high HR/PA rates
📐 Math (Flex 3-leg)
Break-even/leg: 57.74% · Our avg L10: 50% · need 57.7% per leg
Expected payout: 0.75x (EV $-0.25/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
3/312%3.0x
2/338%1.0x
Upside: 4-leg add (10x payout est)
Standard 4-leg = 10x. $5 → $50. Same thesis + 1 more game.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Jac CaglianoneTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%WSH @ KC
2Nick KurtzTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%PIT @ ATH
3James WoodTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%KC @ WSH
4Shohei OhtaniTotal Bases1.5MORE8/10 80%TB @ LAD
Why:
  • Add Shohei Ohtani at TB @ LAD
  • 4 separate games — still uncorrelated
  • Same dense-data + HOT-bat thesis as primary
📐 Math (Flex 4-leg)
Break-even/leg: 55.03% · Our avg L10: 57% · math says +EV ✓
Expected payout: 1.09x (EV +$0.09/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
4/410%6.0x
3/432%1.5x
Auto-faded (caught by gates):
Kyle Schwarber, Trea Turner, Xavier Edwards, Bobby Witt Jr., Salvador Perez, Sal Stewart, Nathaniel Lowe, Ty France
🎲 Solid PP Parlays (8-25x)

🎰 Solid Power Play Parlays3 suggestedlineup-gated · scratches auto-removed

Auto-built using top Mispriced Demons (L10 ≥ 70%) + top Green Locks (L10 ≥ 85%). Different games for uncorrelation · max 2 same-team · scratched players removed via MLB lineup card check. Universe: 5 Demons + 16 Locks tonight. Verify multiplier on PP app — PP adjusts when lineups shift.

🛡️ SAFEST
2-pick
3.0–5.0xpayout range
64.0% combined
EV $+0.92–$+2.20/$1
Lowest-leg-count Power Play. Both Demons at 70%+ L10 → combined hit prob is high. 13.5x boosted = 8-10x effective.
🔴 DEMKody Clemens Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · TEX @ MIN
🔴 DEMAlec Burleson Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · SD @ STL
$5 → $15–$25
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat
⚖️ BALANCED
4-pick
6.0–10.8xpayout range
64.0% combined
EV $+2.84–$+5.91/$1
2 Demons anchor for multiplier, 2 Locks as insurance. If 1 Demon misses, the Locks still gives partial payout via PP's 'win contest or 5 of 5' refund.
🔴 DEMKody Clemens Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · TEX @ MIN
🔴 DEMAlec Burleson Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · SD @ STL
🟢 GOBRyan Waldschmidt Hitter Strikeouts MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · LAA @ AZ
🟢 GOBTroy Johnston Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · CHC @ COL
$5 → $30–$54
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat
🚀 HUNGRY
5-pick
9.0–18.0xpayout range
48.0% combined
EV $+3.32–$+7.64/$1
Top 3 Demons + 2 Lock insurance. 22-35x payout potential. Even on 4/5 you get the contest refund. The 5/17 +$110 PP win was this structure.
🔴 DEMKody Clemens Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · TEX @ MIN
🔴 DEMAlec Burleson Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · SD @ STL
🔴 DEMNoelvi Marte Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
6/8 L10 (75%) · NYM @ CIN
🟢 GOBRyan Waldschmidt Hitter Strikeouts MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · LAA @ AZ
🟢 GOBTroy Johnston Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · CHC @ COL
$5 → $45–$90
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat

⚾ MLB EdgeBoard + Pro V2

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+6.01 (125 picks)

⚽ WC EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🎾 Tennis EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🏈 NFL EdgeBoard (off-season — kickoff Sept 11) →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)
Money Slate · generated 2026-06-15 06:20:57 · meta-refresh every 120s · edgeboard-home.pages.dev
Picks aggregated from forecastcard_mirror{,_wc,_tennis}/paper_trades_*_2026-06-15.json