edgeboard
MONEY SLATE · LIVE
2026-08-01 10:56 PT · refreshed just now
PITCHERS NOW
VEGAS NOW
LINEUPS
WEATHER NOW
KALSHI HR
PP EDGES NOW
ML EDGES NOW
WC EDGES
TENNIS NOW
TOTAL PICKS
9
locked today
ELITE
0
top tier
STRONG
0
tier 2
REAL $ PLAN
$0
0 fires
Portfolio green — 7-day P&L = $-8.00. Stake plan unchanged.
Live Portfolio · today
SportP&LRecordLiveHealth
⚾ MLB$0.000W / 0L23 live(early)
⚽ WC$0.000W / 0L10 live(early)
🏈 NFL$0.000W / 0L12 live(early)
PORTFOLIO$0.000W / 0L45 live
Today's Fires — Real Money Plan 0 ranked
FULL REAL MONEY PLAN — $0 total stake · 0 fires
No real-money plays meeting threshold today.
Stay paper, build calibration data.

Line Movement & EV Screen CLV + vig-adj

No locked picks intersect line_history yet — CLV tracking will populate as the day progresses.
PrizePicks
Pitcher Plays
1st Inning
Parlays
Results
🟢 Green Locks · PP safe Power-Play floors

🟢 Green Locks15 players

PrizePicks 🟢 Goblins (lower lines, ~60% implied) and ⚪ Standards (~50% implied) where this player's L10 actual hit rate clears the line at 75%+. ⚠️ Do NOT stack 5-6 Goblins alone — PP pays only 4-5x on all-Goblin Power Plays (verified 2026-05-18). Use these as insurance legs in a Demon-anchored Power Play (3 Demons + 2 Locks → ~20x with high floor). See the suggested HYBRID combo below.

PlayerStat / variantLineL10 hit%Edge vs PPGame
Andy Pages LADHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppBOS @ LAD
Bryan De La Cruz PHIHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (6/6)+40ppBAL @ PHI
James McCann AZ
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Hits
Total Bases 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (6/6)+40ppCLE @ AZ
James Wood WSHHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppATL @ WSH
Jeremy Peña HOU
also locks: Hits, Total Bases
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppTEX @ HOU
Nick Gonzales PIT
also locks: Total Bases, Hits
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCIN @ PIT
Seiya Suzuki CHCHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppNYY @ CHC
Cal Raleigh SEAHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppMIN @ SEA
Carter Jensen KCHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppCOL @ KC
Gabriel Moreno AZ
also locks: Total Bases, Hits
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppCLE @ AZ
Ryan Jeffers MIN
also locks: Total Bases, Hits+Runs+RBIs
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppSEA @ MIN
Christian Encarnacion-Strand BALHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.589% (8/9)+29ppPHI @ BAL
Suggested 5-leg HYBRID Power Play
3 Demons (high multiplier) + 2 Green Lock insurance. ~41% combined hit prob × ~20x = EV +$7.16/$1 stake. All-Goblin stacks pay 4-5x (garbage); hybrid pays 20x+ when Demons are real.
🔴 James McCann · Hits+Runs+RBIs 83%🔴 Ceddanne Rafaela · Hits+Runs+RBIs 70%🔴 Nick Gonzales · Total Bases 70%🟢 Andy Pages · Hits+Runs+RBIs 100%🟢 Bryan De La Cruz · Hits+Runs+RBIs 100%
Open PrizePicks →
🎁 Mispriced Demons · PrizePicks gift detector

🎁 Mispriced PP Demons15 candidates

PP prices these as ~40% (Demon variant = ~2x multiplier) but our model says they clear at the % shown. Today's 5/17 $110 win came from stacking 4 of these. Build a 3-4-leg Power Play on PrizePicks — pick from different games for uncorrelation. Verify multiplier on the app.

PlayerStat / variantLineEst hit%Edge vs PPGame
James McCann AZHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.583% (5/6)+43.3ppCLE @ AZ
Ceddanne Rafaela BOSHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppLAD @ BOS
Bryan De La Cruz PHITotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.567% (4/6)+26.7ppBAL @ PHI
Bryan De La Cruz PHIHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.567% (4/6)+26.7ppBAL @ PHI
Gabriel Moreno AZHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.580% (8/10)+40.0ppCLE @ AZ
Royce Lewis MINHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppSEA @ MIN
Nick Gonzales PITTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppCIN @ PIT
Miguel Amaya CHCHits 🔴 DEMON0.570% (7/10)+30.0ppNYY @ CHC
Luis Rengifo SDHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppSF @ SD
Andruw Monasterio BOSHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppLAD @ BOS
Ty France SDTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppSF @ SD
Cooper Pratt MILHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppLAA @ MIL
Suggested 4-leg Power Play (different games)
James McCann · Hits+Runs+RBIsCeddanne Rafaela · Hits+Runs+RBIsBryan De La Cruz · Total BasesRoyce Lewis · Hits+Runs+RBIs
Open PrizePicks →
🎯 Total Bases Best Picks

🎯 Total Bases Best Pickstop 8 composite-ranked

Today's TB board: 1179 🔴 Demons / 266 🟢 Goblins / 50 Standards. Composite score = 30% form + 25% pitcher matchup + 25% barrel + 15% park + 5% sample density. COLDs auto-skipped. Lineup-gated (scratches removed).

#PlayerLineSidePA14L10ScoreWhy
1Kyle Stowers🔥 HOT
MIA
1.5MORE566/10 60%66.9Average bat · on hot streak (7% HR rate) · hitting it hard · facing vulnerable Thornton (4
2Dominic Canzone
SEA
1.5MORE525/10 50%66.9Above-avg bat · hitting it hard · facing average Prielipp
3Heriberto Hernández
MIA
1.5MORE555/10 50%65.9Solid bat · hitting it hard · facing vulnerable Thornton (4.55 ERA)
4Miguel Vargas
CWS
1.5MORE584/10 40%61.5Great bat 🔥 · hitting it hard · tough matchup — Rasmussen (ace, 3.12 ERA)
5Munetaka Murakami
CWS
1.5MORE585/10 50%59.8Above-avg bat · crushing the ball · tough matchup — Rasmussen (ace, 3.12 ERA)
6Randy Arozarena
SEA
1.5MORE573/10 30%55.6Solid bat · facing average Prielipp
7Julio Rodríguez
SEA
1.5MORE543/10 30%55.5Solid bat · facing average Prielipp
8JJ Wetherholt
STL
1.5MORE623/10 30%53.9Solid bat · tough matchup — Gausman (ace, 3.93 ERA)
Primary: 3-leg Triple-Threat (5x payout est)
Standard 3-leg = 5x. $5 → $25. Lowest risk.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Kyle StowersTotal Bases1.5MORE6/10 60%NYM @ MIA
2Dominic CanzoneTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%MIN @ SEA
3Miguel VargasTotal Bases1.5MORE4/10 40%TB @ CWS
Why:
  • 3 separate games (NYM @ MIA / MIN @ SEA / TB @ CWS) → zero same-game correlation
  • All 3 have PA14 ≥ 50 → dense data, gate-approved
  • All face vulnerable pitchers (xFIP / recent ERA ≥ 4.40)
  • All HOT batters with high HR/PA rates
📐 Math (Flex 3-leg)
Break-even/leg: 57.74% · Our avg L10: 50% · need 57.7% per leg
Expected payout: 0.74x (EV $-0.26/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
3/312%3.0x
2/338%1.0x
Upside: 4-leg add (10x payout est)
Standard 4-leg = 10x. $5 → $50. Same thesis + 1 more game.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Kyle StowersTotal Bases1.5MORE6/10 60%NYM @ MIA
2Dominic CanzoneTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%MIN @ SEA
3Miguel VargasTotal Bases1.5MORE4/10 40%TB @ CWS
4JJ WetherholtTotal Bases1.5MORE3/10 30%TOR @ STL
Why:
  • Add JJ Wetherholt at TOR @ STL
  • 4 separate games — still uncorrelated
  • Same dense-data + HOT-bat thesis as primary
📐 Math (Flex 4-leg)
Break-even/leg: 55.03% · Our avg L10: 45% · need 55.0% per leg
Expected payout: 0.51x (EV $-0.49/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
4/44%6.0x
3/420%1.5x
High-upside: 3-leg same-game stack (correlated)
All 3 from MIN @ SEA — bigger upside, bigger variance.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Dominic CanzoneTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%MIN @ SEA
2Randy ArozarenaTotal Bases1.5MORE3/10 30%MIN @ SEA
3Julio RodríguezTotal Bases1.5MORE3/10 30%MIN @ SEA
Why:
  • 3 batters from MIN @ SEA → correlated
  • If the pitcher gets shelled, all legs hit together
  • If pitcher pitches a gem, all die together
📐 Math (Flex 3-leg)
Break-even/leg: 57.74% · Our avg L10: 37% · need 57.7% per leg
Expected payout: 0.39x (EV $-0.61/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
3/34%3.0x
2/326%1.0x
Auto-faded (caught by gates):
Jordan Walker, Lars Nootbaar, Ernie Clement, Alec Burleson, Daulton Varsho, Nathan Church, Otto Lopez, Josh Naylor

⚾ MLB EdgeBoard + Pro V2

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$-8.00 (44 picks)

⚽ WC EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🎾 Tennis EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🏈 NFL EdgeBoard (off-season — kickoff Sept 11) →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)
Money Slate · generated 2026-08-01 10:56:46 · meta-refresh every 120s · edgeboard-home.pages.dev
Picks aggregated from forecastcard_mirror{,_wc,_tennis}/paper_trades_*_2026-08-01.json