edgeboard
MONEY SLATE · LIVE
2026-07-27 06:24 PT · refreshed just now
PITCHERS NOW
VEGAS
LINEUPS
WEATHER NOW
KALSHI HR
PP EDGES NOW
ML EDGES
WC EDGES
TENNIS NOW
TOTAL PICKS
9
locked today
ELITE
0
top tier
STRONG
0
tier 2
REAL $ PLAN
$0
0 fires
Portfolio green — 7-day P&L = $-7.00. Stake plan unchanged.
Live Portfolio · today
SportP&LRecordLiveHealth
⚾ MLB$0.000W / 0L9 live(early)
⚽ WC$0.000W / 0L10 live(early)
🏈 NFL$0.000W / 0L12 live(early)
PORTFOLIO$0.000W / 0L31 live
Today's Fires — Real Money Plan 0 ranked
FULL REAL MONEY PLAN — $0 total stake · 0 fires
No real-money plays meeting threshold today.
Stay paper, build calibration data.

Line Movement & EV Screen CLV + vig-adj

No locked picks intersect line_history yet — CLV tracking will populate as the day progresses.
PrizePicks
Pitcher Plays
1st Inning
Parlays
Results
🟢 Green Locks · PP safe Power-Play floors

🟢 Green Locks15 players

PrizePicks 🟢 Goblins (lower lines, ~60% implied) and ⚪ Standards (~50% implied) where this player's L10 actual hit rate clears the line at 75%+. ⚠️ Do NOT stack 5-6 Goblins alone — PP pays only 4-5x on all-Goblin Power Plays (verified 2026-05-18). Use these as insurance legs in a Demon-anchored Power Play (3 Demons + 2 Locks → ~20x with high floor). See the suggested HYBRID combo below.

PlayerStat / variantLineL10 hit%Edge vs PPGame
Gabriel Moreno AZ
also locks: Hits, Total Bases
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppPIT @ AZ
Jeremy Peña HOU
also locks: Total Bases, Hits
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppLAA @ HOU
Michael Harris II ATL
also locks: Hits, Total Bases
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppNYM @ ATL
Nick Gonzales PIT
also locks: Hits, Total Bases
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppAZ @ PIT
Cal Raleigh SEAHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppTEX @ SEA
Heliot Ramos SFHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppMIL @ SF
Ian Happ CHCHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppSTL @ CHC
Isaac Paredes HOUHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppLAA @ HOU
Josh Naylor SEAHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppTEX @ SEA
Nick Kurtz ATHHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppBOS @ ATH
Christian Encarnacion-Strand BAL
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.586% (6/7)+26ppDET @ BAL
Colt Emerson SEAHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.580% (8/10)+20ppTEX @ SEA
Suggested 5-leg HYBRID Power Play
3 Demons (high multiplier) + 2 Green Lock insurance. ~58% combined hit prob × ~20x = EV +$10.52/$1 stake. All-Goblin stacks pay 4-5x (garbage); hybrid pays 20x+ when Demons are real.
🔴 Hao-Yu Lee · Hits+Runs+RBIs 90%🔴 Michael Harris II · Total Bases 80%🔴 Gabriel Moreno · Hits+Runs+RBIs 80%🟢 Jeremy Peña · Hits+Runs+RBIs 100%🟢 Nick Gonzales · Hits+Runs+RBIs 100%
Open PrizePicks →
🎁 Mispriced Demons · PrizePicks gift detector

🎁 Mispriced PP Demons15 candidates

PP prices these as ~40% (Demon variant = ~2x multiplier) but our model says they clear at the % shown. Today's 5/17 $110 win came from stacking 4 of these. Build a 3-4-leg Power Play on PrizePicks — pick from different games for uncorrelation. Verify multiplier on the app.

PlayerStat / variantLineEst hit%Edge vs PPGame
Michael Harris II ATLTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.580% (8/10)+40.0ppNYM @ ATL
Tyler Locklear AZHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.567% (4/6)+26.7ppPIT @ AZ
Gabriel Moreno AZHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.580% (8/10)+40.0ppPIT @ AZ
Nick Gonzales PITTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppAZ @ PIT
Ronald Acuña Jr. ATLTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppNYM @ ATL
Tommy White ATHTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.562% (5/8)+22.5ppBOS @ ATH
Hao-Yu Lee DETHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.590% (9/10)+50.0ppBAL @ DET
Nicky Lopez TEXHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppSEA @ TEX
Joe Mack MIAHits 🔴 DEMON0.570% (7/10)+30.0ppPHI @ MIA
Seiya Suzuki CHCHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.570% (7/10)+30.0ppSTL @ CHC
Gabriel Moreno AZTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppPIT @ AZ
Tyrone Taylor NYMTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppATL @ NYM
Suggested 4-leg Power Play (different games)
Michael Harris II · Total BasesTyler Locklear · Hits+Runs+RBIsNick Gonzales · Total BasesTommy White · Total Bases
Open PrizePicks →
🎯 Total Bases Best Picks

🎯 Total Bases Best Pickstop 8 composite-ranked

Today's TB board: 941 🔴 Demons / 212 🟢 Goblins / 42 Standards. Composite score = 30% form + 25% pitcher matchup + 25% barrel + 15% park + 5% sample density. COLDs auto-skipped. Lineup-gated (scratches removed).

#PlayerLineSidePA14L10ScoreWhy
1James Wood
WSH
1.5MORE482/10 20%79.9Elite bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · facing BP-arm Scherzer (6.30 recent ERA)
2Esmerlyn Valdez
PIT
1.5MORE436/10 60%76.6Above-avg bat · crushing the ball · facing BP-arm Kelly (7.29 recent ERA)
3Ben Rice
NYY
1.5MORE424/10 40%76.4Above-avg bat · crushing the ball · facing BP-arm Schultz (6.07 recent ERA)
4Elly De La Cruz
CIN
1.5MORE464/10 40%76.2Above-avg bat · hitting it hard · hitter-friendly park · facing vulnerable Cecconi (4.72 E
5Drake Baldwin🔥 HOT
ATL
1.5MORE537/10 70%75.4Great bat 🔥 · on hot streak (9% HR rate) · crushing the ball · facing average Thornton
6CJ Abrams🔥 HOT
WSH
1.5MORE458/10 80%73.2Solid bat · on hot streak (16% HR rate) · hitting it hard · facing BP-arm Scherzer (6.30 r
7Sal Stewart
CIN
1.5MORE414/10 40%73.2Solid bat · hitting it hard · hitter-friendly park · facing vulnerable Cecconi (4.72 ERA)
8Willson Contreras
BOS
1.5MORE365/10 50%70.7Great bat 🔥 · hitting it hard
Auto-faded (caught by gates):
Josh Naylor, Colt Emerson, Kyle Schwarber, Otto Lopez, J.T. Realmuto, Brandon Lowe, Bryan Reynolds, Colt Keith
🎲 Solid PP Parlays (8-25x)

🎰 Solid Power Play Parlays3 suggestedlineup-gated · scratches auto-removed

Auto-built using top Mispriced Demons (L10 ≥ 70%) + top Green Locks (L10 ≥ 85%). Different games for uncorrelation · max 2 same-team · scratched players removed via MLB lineup card check. Universe: 9 Demons + 11 Locks tonight. Verify multiplier on PP app — PP adjusts when lineups shift.

🛡️ SAFEST
2-pick
3.0–5.0xpayout range
72.0% combined
EV $+1.16–$+2.60/$1
Lowest-leg-count Power Play. Both Demons at 70%+ L10 → combined hit prob is high. 13.5x boosted = 8-10x effective.
🔴 DEMHao-Yu Lee Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
9/10 L10 (90%) · BAL @ DET
🔴 DEMMichael Harris II Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · NYM @ ATL
$5 → $15–$25
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat
⚖️ BALANCED
4-pick
6.0–10.8xpayout range
72.0% combined
EV $+3.32–$+6.78/$1
2 Demons anchor for multiplier, 2 Locks as insurance. If 1 Demon misses, the Locks still gives partial payout via PP's 'win contest or 5 of 5' refund.
🔴 DEMHao-Yu Lee Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
9/10 L10 (90%) · BAL @ DET
🔴 DEMMichael Harris II Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · NYM @ ATL
🟢 GOBGabriel Moreno Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · PIT @ AZ
🟢 GOBNick Gonzales Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · AZ @ PIT
$5 → $30–$54
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat
🚀 HUNGRY
5-pick
9.0–18.0xpayout range
57.6% combined
EV $+4.18–$+9.37/$1
Top 3 Demons + 2 Lock insurance. 22-35x payout potential. Even on 4/5 you get the contest refund. The 5/17 +$110 PP win was this structure.
🔴 DEMHao-Yu Lee Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
9/10 L10 (90%) · BAL @ DET
🔴 DEMMichael Harris II Total Bases MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · NYM @ ATL
🔴 DEMGabriel Moreno Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 2.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · PIT @ AZ
🟢 GOBNick Gonzales Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · AZ @ PIT
🟢 GOBJeremy Peña Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · LAA @ HOU
$5 → $45–$90
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat

⚾ MLB EdgeBoard + Pro V2

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$-7.00 (35 picks)

⚽ WC EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🎾 Tennis EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🏈 NFL EdgeBoard (off-season — kickoff Sept 11) →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)
Money Slate · generated 2026-07-27 06:24:19 · meta-refresh every 120s · edgeboard-home.pages.dev
Picks aggregated from forecastcard_mirror{,_wc,_tennis}/paper_trades_*_2026-07-27.json