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MONEY SLATE · LIVE
2026-08-06 09:14 PT · refreshed just now
PITCHERS NOW
VEGAS NOW
LINEUPS
WEATHER NOW
KALSHI HR
PP EDGES NOW
ML EDGES NOW
WC EDGES
TENNIS NOW
TOTAL PICKS
11
locked today
ELITE
0
top tier
STRONG
0
tier 2
REAL $ PLAN
$0
0 fires
STOP-LOSS YELLOW — 7-day portfolio P&L = $-148.64. Halve real-money stakes today.
Live Portfolio · today
SportP&LRecordLiveHealth
⚾ MLB$0.000W / 0L18 live(early)
⚽ WC$0.000W / 0L10 live(early)
🏈 NFL$0.000W / 0L12 live(early)
PORTFOLIO$0.000W / 0L40 live
Today's Fires — Real Money Plan 0 ranked
FULL REAL MONEY PLAN — $0 total stake · 0 fires
No real-money plays meeting threshold today.
Stay paper, build calibration data.

Line Movement & EV Screen CLV + vig-adj

No locked picks intersect line_history yet — CLV tracking will populate as the day progresses.
PrizePicks
Pitcher Plays
1st Inning
Parlays
Results
🟢 Green Locks · PP safe Power-Play floors

🟢 Green Locks19 players

PrizePicks 🟢 Goblins (lower lines, ~60% implied) and ⚪ Standards (~50% implied) where this player's L10 actual hit rate clears the line at 75%+. ⚠️ Do NOT stack 5-6 Goblins alone — PP pays only 4-5x on all-Goblin Power Plays (verified 2026-05-18). Use these as insurance legs in a Demon-anchored Power Play (3 Demons + 2 Locks → ~20x with high floor). See the suggested HYBRID combo below.

PlayerStat / variantLineL10 hit%Edge vs PPGame
Andruw Monasterio BOS
also locks: Hits, Total Bases
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppCWS @ BOS
Brandon Lowe PITHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppMIL @ PIT
Bryan Reynolds PITHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppMIL @ PIT
CJ Abrams WSHHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppPHI @ WSH
Cal Raleigh SEAHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppDET @ SEA
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS
also locks: Hits, Total Bases
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppCWS @ BOS
Eugenio Suárez CINHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppATH @ CIN
Jake Mangum PITHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppMIL @ PIT
Ronald Acuña Jr. ATLHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppMIA @ ATL
Ryan Jeffers MIN
also locks: Total Bases, Hits+Runs+RBIs
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppKC @ MIN
Ty France SDHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppAZ @ SD
Zach Neto LAAHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppBAL @ LAA
Suggested 5-leg HYBRID Power Play
3 Demons (high multiplier) + 2 Green Lock insurance. ~24% combined hit prob × ~20x = EV +$3.76/$1 stake. All-Goblin stacks pay 4-5x (garbage); hybrid pays 20x+ when Demons are real.
🔴 Brandon Lowe · Hits+Runs+RBIs 70%🔴 Ceddanne Rafaela · Total Bases 70%🔴 Miguel Amaya · Hits 60%🟢 CJ Abrams · Hitter Strikeouts 90%🟢 Cal Raleigh · Hitter Strikeouts 90%
Open PrizePicks →
🎁 Mispriced Demons · PrizePicks gift detector

🎁 Mispriced PP Demons15 candidates

PP prices these as ~40% (Demon variant = ~2x multiplier) but our model says they clear at the % shown. Today's 5/17 $110 win came from stacking 4 of these. Build a 3-4-leg Power Play on PrizePicks — pick from different games for uncorrelation. Verify multiplier on the app.

PlayerStat / variantLineEst hit%Edge vs PPGame
Brandon Lowe PITHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppMIL @ PIT
Ceddanne Rafaela BOSTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppCWS @ BOS
Miguel Amaya CHCHits 🔴 DEMON0.560% (6/10)+20.0ppTOR @ CHC
Max Clark DETHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (3/5)+20.0ppSEA @ DET
Javier Báez DETTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (3/5)+20.0ppSEA @ DET
Javier Báez DETHits 🔴 DEMON1.560% (3/5)+20.0ppSEA @ DET
Ceddanne Rafaela BOSHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.560% (6/10)+20.0ppCWS @ BOS
Bryan Reynolds PITHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppMIL @ PIT
Nathaniel Lowe CLEHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppNYM @ CLE
Nathaniel Lowe CLETotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppNYM @ CLE
William Contreras MILTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppPIT @ MIL
David Hamilton MILTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON0.560% (6/10)+20.0ppPIT @ MIL
Suggested 4-leg Power Play (different games)
Brandon Lowe · Hits+Runs+RBIsCeddanne Rafaela · Total BasesMiguel Amaya · HitsMax Clark · Hits+Runs+RBIs
Open PrizePicks →
🎯 Total Bases Best Picks

🎯 Total Bases Best Pickstop 8 composite-ranked

Today's TB board: 741 🔴 Demons / 172 🟢 Goblins / 27 Standards. Composite score = 30% form + 25% pitcher matchup + 25% barrel + 15% park + 5% sample density. COLDs auto-skipped. Lineup-gated (scratches removed).

#PlayerLineSidePA14L10ScoreWhy
1Christian Encarnacion-Strand
BAL
1.5MORE333/10 30%77.3Great bat 🔥 · crushing the ball · facing vulnerable Johnson (5.30 ERA)
2Pete Alonso
BAL
1.5MORE463/10 30%71.6Above-avg bat · hitting it hard · facing vulnerable Johnson (5.30 ERA)
3Sal Stewart
CIN
1.5MORE503/10 30%65.4Solid bat · hitting it hard · hitter-friendly park · tough matchup — Barnett (ace, 3.96 ER
4Francisco Alvarez
NYM
1.5MORE383/10 30%65.4Solid bat · crushing the ball · facing average Griffin
5JJ Bleday
CIN
1.5MORE492/10 20%62.0Above-avg bat · hitting it hard · hitter-friendly park · tough matchup — Barnett (ace, 3.9
6Francisco Lindor🔥 HOT
NYM
1.5MORE544/10 40%62.0Solid bat · on hot streak (6% HR rate) · facing average Griffin
7Lawrence Butler🔥 HOT
ATH
1.5MORE415/10 50%60.2Below-avg bat · on hot streak (5% HR rate) · facing vulnerable Abbott (4.70 ERA)
8Gunnar Henderson
BAL
1.5MORE472/10 20%59.5Below-avg bat · facing vulnerable Johnson (5.30 ERA)
Primary: 3-leg Triple-Threat (5x payout est)
Standard 3-leg = 5x. $5 → $25. Lowest risk.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Sal StewartTotal Bases1.5MORE3/10 30%ATH @ CIN
2Francisco LindorTotal Bases1.5MORE4/10 40%CLE @ NYM
3Tyler SoderstromTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%CIN @ ATH
Why:
  • 3 separate games (ATH @ CIN / CLE @ NYM / CIN @ ATH) → zero same-game correlation
  • All 3 have PA14 ≥ 50 → dense data, gate-approved
  • All face vulnerable pitchers (xFIP / recent ERA ≥ 4.40)
  • All HOT batters with high HR/PA rates
📐 Math (Flex 3-leg)
Break-even/leg: 57.74% · Our avg L10: 40% · need 57.7% per leg
Expected payout: 0.47x (EV $-0.53/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
3/36%3.0x
2/329%1.0x
High-upside: 3-leg same-game stack (correlated)
All 3 from LAA @ BAL — bigger upside, bigger variance.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Christian Encarnacion-StrandTotal Bases1.5MORE3/10 30%LAA @ BAL
2Pete AlonsoTotal Bases1.5MORE3/10 30%LAA @ BAL
3Gunnar HendersonTotal Bases1.5MORE2/10 20%LAA @ BAL
Why:
  • 3 batters from LAA @ BAL → correlated
  • If the pitcher gets shelled, all legs hit together
  • If pitcher pitches a gem, all die together
📐 Math (Flex 3-leg)
Break-even/leg: 57.74% · Our avg L10: 27% · need 57.7% per leg
Expected payout: 0.21x (EV $-0.79/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
3/32%3.0x
2/316%1.0x
Auto-faded (caught by gates):
Mike Trout, Jackson Holliday, Zach Neto, Nolan Schanuel, Elly De La Cruz, Noelvi Marte, Dane Myers, José Ramírez

⚾ MLB EdgeBoard + Pro V2

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$-148.64 (112 picks)

⚽ WC EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🎾 Tennis EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🏈 NFL EdgeBoard (off-season — kickoff Sept 11) →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)
Money Slate · generated 2026-08-06 09:14:32 · meta-refresh every 120s · edgeboard-home.pages.dev
Picks aggregated from forecastcard_mirror{,_wc,_tennis}/paper_trades_*_2026-08-06.json