edgeboard
MONEY SLATE · LIVE
2026-07-29 06:37 PT · refreshed just now
PITCHERS NOW
VEGAS
LINEUPS
WEATHER NOW
KALSHI HR
PP EDGES NOW
ML EDGES
WC EDGES
TENNIS NOW
TOTAL PICKS
8
locked today
ELITE
0
top tier
STRONG
0
tier 2
REAL $ PLAN
$0
0 fires
Portfolio green — 7-day P&L = $-7.00. Stake plan unchanged.
Live Portfolio · today
SportP&LRecordLiveHealth
⚾ MLB$0.000W / 0L7 live(early)
⚽ WC$0.000W / 0L10 live(early)
🏈 NFL$0.000W / 0L12 live(early)
PORTFOLIO$0.000W / 0L29 live
Today's Fires — Real Money Plan 0 ranked
FULL REAL MONEY PLAN — $0 total stake · 0 fires
No real-money plays meeting threshold today.
Stay paper, build calibration data.

Line Movement & EV Screen CLV + vig-adj

No locked picks intersect line_history yet — CLV tracking will populate as the day progresses.
PrizePicks
Pitcher Plays
1st Inning
Parlays
Results
🟢 Green Locks · PP safe Power-Play floors

🟢 Green Locks15 players

PrizePicks 🟢 Goblins (lower lines, ~60% implied) and ⚪ Standards (~50% implied) where this player's L10 actual hit rate clears the line at 75%+. ⚠️ Do NOT stack 5-6 Goblins alone — PP pays only 4-5x on all-Goblin Power Plays (verified 2026-05-18). Use these as insurance legs in a Demon-anchored Power Play (3 Demons + 2 Locks → ~20x with high floor). See the suggested HYBRID combo below.

PlayerStat / variantLineL10 hit%Edge vs PPGame
Ben Rice NYYHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppCWS @ NYY
Bryson Stott PHIHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppMIA @ PHI
Jeremy Peña HOU
also locks: Hits, Total Bases
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppLAA @ HOU
Michael Harris II ATL
also locks: Hits, Total Bases
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppNYM @ ATL
Nick Gonzales PIT
also locks: Hits, Total Bases
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppAZ @ PIT
Cal Raleigh SEAHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppLAD @ SEA
Carter Jensen KCHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppMIN @ KC
Ernie Clement TORHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppWSH @ TOR
Gabriel Moreno AZHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppPIT @ AZ
Jake McCarthy COLHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppSD @ COL
Josh Naylor SEAHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppLAD @ SEA
Ryan Jeffers MIN
also locks: Hits, Total Bases
Hits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppKC @ MIN
Suggested 5-leg HYBRID Power Play
3 Demons (high multiplier) + 2 Green Lock insurance. ~51% combined hit prob × ~20x = EV +$9.24/$1 stake. All-Goblin stacks pay 4-5x (garbage); hybrid pays 20x+ when Demons are real.
🔴 Ezequiel Duran · Hits+Runs+RBIs 80%🔴 Seiya Suzuki · Hits+Runs+RBIs 80%🔴 Jeremy Peña · Hits+Runs+RBIs 80%🟢 Ben Rice · Hitter Strikeouts 100%🟢 Bryson Stott · Hitter Strikeouts 100%
Open PrizePicks →
🎁 Mispriced Demons · PrizePicks gift detector

🎁 Mispriced PP Demons15 candidates

PP prices these as ~40% (Demon variant = ~2x multiplier) but our model says they clear at the % shown. Today's 5/17 $110 win came from stacking 4 of these. Build a 3-4-leg Power Play on PrizePicks — pick from different games for uncorrelation. Verify multiplier on the app.

PlayerStat / variantLineEst hit%Edge vs PPGame
Ezequiel Duran TEXHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.580% (8/10)+40.0ppTB @ TEX
Gabriel Moreno AZHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.570% (7/10)+30.0ppPIT @ AZ
Nick Gonzales PITTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppAZ @ PIT
Michael Harris II ATLTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppNYM @ ATL
Joe Mack MIAHits 🔴 DEMON0.570% (7/10)+30.0ppPHI @ MIA
Joe Mack MIATotal Bases 🔴 DEMON0.570% (7/10)+30.0ppPHI @ MIA
Francisco Alvarez NYMHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppATL @ NYM
Cole Carrigg COLHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppSD @ COL
Tommy White ATHTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppBOS @ ATH
Christian Encarnacion-Strand BALHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.557% (4/7)+17.1ppDET @ BAL
Seiya Suzuki CHCHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.580% (8/10)+40.0ppSTL @ CHC
Jeremy Peña HOUHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON2.580% (8/10)+40.0ppLAA @ HOU
Suggested 4-leg Power Play (different games)
Ezequiel Duran · Hits+Runs+RBIsGabriel Moreno · Hits+Runs+RBIsNick Gonzales · Total BasesMichael Harris II · Total Bases
Open PrizePicks →
🎯 Total Bases Best Picks

🎯 Total Bases Best Pickstop 8 composite-ranked

Today's TB board: 1136 🔴 Demons / 262 🟢 Goblins / 34 Standards. Composite score = 30% form + 25% pitcher matchup + 25% barrel + 15% park + 5% sample density. COLDs auto-skipped. Lineup-gated (scratches removed).

#PlayerLineSidePA14L10ScoreWhy
1Esmerlyn Valdez
PIT
1.5MORE465/10 50%76.6Above-avg bat · crushing the ball · facing vulnerable Rodriguez (5.00 ERA)
2Drake Baldwin🔥 HOT
ATL
1.5MORE526/10 60%75.4Great bat 🔥 · on hot streak (10% HR rate) · hitting it hard · facing average Scott
3Willson Contreras
BOS
1.5MORE444/10 40%71.3Great bat 🔥 · hitting it hard
4Ryan Jeffers
MIN
1.5MORE335/10 50%71.1Above-avg bat · hitting it hard · facing vulnerable Dobnak (5.06 ERA)
5Yordan Alvarez
HOU
1.5MORE496/10 60%70.0Elite bat 🔥 · crushing the ball
6Shohei Ohtani
LAD
1.5MORE464/10 40%69.5Elite bat 🔥 · crushing the ball
7Riley Greene
DET
1.5MORE485/10 50%69.3Above-avg bat · crushing the ball · facing average Rogers
8Ben Rice
NYY
1.5MORE474/10 40%68.9Above-avg bat · crushing the ball · facing average Martin
Primary: 3-leg Triple-Threat (5x payout est)
Standard 3-leg = 5x. $5 → $25. Lowest risk.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Drake BaldwinTotal Bases1.5MORE6/10 60%NYM @ ATL
2Elly De La CruzTotal Bases1.5MORE4/10 40%CLE @ CIN
3Wilyer AbreuTotal Bases1.5MORE3/10 30%ATH @ BOS
Why:
  • 3 separate games (NYM @ ATL / CLE @ CIN / ATH @ BOS) → zero same-game correlation
  • All 3 have PA14 ≥ 50 → dense data, gate-approved
  • All face vulnerable pitchers (xFIP / recent ERA ≥ 4.40)
  • All HOT batters with high HR/PA rates
📐 Math (Flex 3-leg)
Break-even/leg: 57.74% · Our avg L10: 43% · need 57.7% per leg
Expected payout: 0.54x (EV $-0.46/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
3/37%3.0x
2/332%1.0x
Auto-faded (caught by gates):
Kyle Schwarber, Otto Lopez, J.T. Realmuto, Ildemaro Vargas, Ernie Clement, Nathan Lukes, Daulton Varsho, Bo Bichette
🎲 Solid PP Parlays (8-25x)

🎰 Solid Power Play Parlays3 suggestedlineup-gated · scratches auto-removed

Auto-built using top Mispriced Demons (L10 ≥ 70%) + top Green Locks (L10 ≥ 85%). Different games for uncorrelation · max 2 same-team · scratched players removed via MLB lineup card check. Universe: 10 Demons + 13 Locks tonight. Verify multiplier on PP app — PP adjusts when lineups shift.

🛡️ SAFEST
2-pick
3.0–5.0xpayout range
64.0% combined
EV $+0.92–$+2.20/$1
Lowest-leg-count Power Play. Both Demons at 70%+ L10 → combined hit prob is high. 13.5x boosted = 8-10x effective.
🔴 DEMEzequiel Duran Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · TB @ TEX
🔴 DEMSeiya Suzuki Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 2.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · STL @ CHC
$5 → $15–$25
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat
⚖️ BALANCED
4-pick
6.0–10.8xpayout range
64.0% combined
EV $+2.84–$+5.91/$1
2 Demons anchor for multiplier, 2 Locks as insurance. If 1 Demon misses, the Locks still gives partial payout via PP's 'win contest or 5 of 5' refund.
🔴 DEMEzequiel Duran Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · TB @ TEX
🔴 DEMSeiya Suzuki Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 2.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · STL @ CHC
🟢 GOBJeremy Peña Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · LAA @ HOU
🟢 GOBNick Gonzales Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · AZ @ PIT
$5 → $30–$54
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat
🚀 HUNGRY
5-pick
9.0–18.0xpayout range
51.2% combined
EV $+3.61–$+8.22/$1
Top 3 Demons + 2 Lock insurance. 22-35x payout potential. Even on 4/5 you get the contest refund. The 5/17 +$110 PP win was this structure.
🔴 DEMEzequiel Duran Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 1.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · TB @ TEX
🔴 DEMSeiya Suzuki Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 2.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · STL @ CHC
🔴 DEMJeremy Peña Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 2.5
8/10 L10 (80%) · LAA @ HOU
🟢 GOBNick Gonzales Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · AZ @ PIT
🟢 GOBMichael Harris II Hits+Runs+RBIs MORE 0.5
10/10 L10 (100%) · NYM @ ATL
$5 → $45–$90
⚠️ verify mult on PP — varies by stat

⚾ MLB EdgeBoard + Pro V2

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$-7.00 (37 picks)

⚽ WC EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🎾 Tennis EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🏈 NFL EdgeBoard (off-season — kickoff Sept 11) →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)
Money Slate · generated 2026-07-29 06:37:18 · meta-refresh every 120s · edgeboard-home.pages.dev
Picks aggregated from forecastcard_mirror{,_wc,_tennis}/paper_trades_*_2026-07-29.json