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MONEY SLATE · LIVE
2026-08-19 09:16 PT · refreshed just now
PITCHERS NOW
VEGAS NOW
LINEUPS
WEATHER NOW
KALSHI HR
PP EDGES NOW
ML EDGES NOW
WC EDGES
TENNIS NOW
TOTAL PICKS
18
locked today
ELITE
0
top tier
STRONG
0
tier 2
REAL $ PLAN
$0
0 fires
Portfolio green — 7-day P&L = $-50.72. Stake plan unchanged.
Live Portfolio · today
SportP&LRecordLiveHealth
⚾ MLB$0.000W / 0L16 live(early)
⚽ WC$0.000W / 0L10 live(early)
🏈 NFL$0.000W / 0L12 live(early)
PORTFOLIO$0.000W / 0L38 live
Today's Fires — Real Money Plan 0 ranked
FULL REAL MONEY PLAN — $0 total stake · 0 fires
No real-money plays meeting threshold today.
Stay paper, build calibration data.

Line Movement & EV Screen CLV + vig-adj

No locked picks intersect line_history yet — CLV tracking will populate as the day progresses.
PrizePicks
Pitcher Plays
1st Inning
Parlays
Results
🟢 Green Locks · PP safe Power-Play floors

🟢 Green Locks21 players

PrizePicks 🟢 Goblins (lower lines, ~60% implied) and ⚪ Standards (~50% implied) where this player's L10 actual hit rate clears the line at 75%+. ⚠️ Do NOT stack 5-6 Goblins alone — PP pays only 4-5x on all-Goblin Power Plays (verified 2026-05-18). Use these as insurance legs in a Demon-anchored Power Play (3 Demons + 2 Locks → ~20x with high floor). See the suggested HYBRID combo below.

PlayerStat / variantLineL10 hit%Edge vs PPGame
Brady House WSHHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppTEX @ WSH
Bryson Stott PHIHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppMIA @ PHI
Gabriel Moreno AZHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.5100% (10/10)+40ppBOS @ AZ
Alec Burleson STLHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppCIN @ STL
Alejandro Kirk TORHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppTB @ TOR
Austin Riley ATLHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppMIN @ ATL
Brett Bateman TORHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppTB @ TOR
CJ Abrams WSHHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppTEX @ WSH
Chandler Simpson TB
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Hits
Total Bases 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppTOR @ TB
Elly De La Cruz CINHitter Strikeouts 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppSTL @ CIN
Fernando Tatis Jr. SDHits+Runs+RBIs 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppNYM @ SD
Jac Caglianone KC
also locks: Hits+Runs+RBIs, Total Bases
Hits 🟢 GOBLIN0.590% (9/10)+30ppATH @ KC
Suggested 5-leg HYBRID Power Play
3 Demons (high multiplier) + 2 Green Lock insurance. ~47% combined hit prob × ~20x = EV +$8.33/$1 stake. All-Goblin stacks pay 4-5x (garbage); hybrid pays 20x+ when Demons are real.
🔴 Zac Veen · Hits+Runs+RBIs 83%🔴 Gabriel Moreno · Total Bases 80%🔴 Seiya Suzuki · Total Bases 70%🟢 Brady House · Hitter Strikeouts 100%🟢 Bryson Stott · Hits+Runs+RBIs 100%
Open PrizePicks →
🎁 Mispriced Demons · PrizePicks gift detector

🎁 Mispriced PP Demons15 candidates

PP prices these as ~40% (Demon variant = ~2x multiplier) but our model says they clear at the % shown. Today's 5/17 $110 win came from stacking 4 of these. Build a 3-4-leg Power Play on PrizePicks — pick from different games for uncorrelation. Verify multiplier on the app.

PlayerStat / variantLineEst hit%Edge vs PPGame
Zac Veen COLHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.583% (5/6)+43.3ppLAD @ COL
Gabriel Moreno AZTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.580% (8/10)+40.0ppBOS @ AZ
Seiya Suzuki CHCTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppCWS @ CHC
Munetaka Murakami CWSTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppCHC @ CWS
Chandler Simpson TBTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppTOR @ TB
Chandler Simpson TBHits 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppTOR @ TB
Yandy Díaz TBTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppTOR @ TB
Andrés Giménez TORHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppTB @ TOR
Alejandro Kirk TORHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.570% (7/10)+30.0ppTB @ TOR
Gleyber Torres DETHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppPIT @ DET
Chase Meidroth CWSHits+Runs+RBIs 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppCHC @ CWS
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHCTotal Bases 🔴 DEMON1.560% (6/10)+20.0ppCWS @ CHC
Suggested 4-leg Power Play (different games)
Zac Veen · Hits+Runs+RBIsGabriel Moreno · Total BasesSeiya Suzuki · Total BasesMunetaka Murakami · Total Bases
Open PrizePicks →
🎯 Total Bases Best Picks

🎯 Total Bases Best Pickstop 8 composite-ranked

Today's TB board: 1150 🔴 Demons / 254 🟢 Goblins / 45 Standards. Composite score = 30% form + 25% pitcher matchup + 25% barrel + 15% park + 5% sample density. COLDs auto-skipped. Lineup-gated (scratches removed).

#PlayerLineSidePA14L10ScoreWhy
1Fernando Tatis Jr.🔥 HOT
SD
1.5MORE565/10 50%75.2Above-avg bat · on hot streak (12% HR rate) · hitting it hard · facing vulnerable Stock (5
2Miguel Vargas
CWS
1.5MORE575/10 50%72.0Great bat 🔥 · hitting it hard · facing average Holmes
3Matt Olson
ATL
1.5MORE545/10 50%70.2Above-avg bat · crushing the ball · facing average Bradley
4Munetaka Murakami
CWS
1.5MORE587/10 70%70.0Above-avg bat · crushing the ball · facing average Holmes
5Ronald Acuña Jr.🔥 HOT
ATL
1.5MORE554/10 40%68.7Above-avg bat · on hot streak (7% HR rate) · hitting it hard · facing average Bradley
6Brandon Lowe
PIT
1.5MORE544/10 40%67.1Average bat · hitting it hard · facing BP-arm Jobe (6.23 recent ERA)
7Luis Campusano
SD
1.5MORE313/10 30%65.2Solid bat · hitting it hard · facing vulnerable Stock (5.08 ERA)
8Jackson Merrill
SD
1.5MORE535/10 50%64.4Average bat · hitting it hard · facing vulnerable Stock (5.08 ERA)
Primary: 3-leg Triple-Threat (5x payout est)
Standard 3-leg = 5x. $5 → $25. Lowest risk.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Fernando Tatis Jr.Total Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%NYM @ SD
2Miguel VargasTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%CHC @ CWS
3Matt OlsonTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%MIN @ ATL
Why:
  • 3 separate games (NYM @ SD / CHC @ CWS / MIN @ ATL) → zero same-game correlation
  • All 3 have PA14 ≥ 50 → dense data, gate-approved
  • All face vulnerable pitchers (xFIP / recent ERA ≥ 4.40)
  • All HOT batters with high HR/PA rates
📐 Math (Flex 3-leg)
Break-even/leg: 57.74% · Our avg L10: 50% · need 57.7% per leg
Expected payout: 0.75x (EV $-0.25/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
3/312%3.0x
2/338%1.0x
Upside: 4-leg add (10x payout est)
Standard 4-leg = 10x. $5 → $50. Same thesis + 1 more game.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Fernando Tatis Jr.Total Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%NYM @ SD
2Miguel VargasTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%CHC @ CWS
3Matt OlsonTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%MIN @ ATL
4Brandon LoweTotal Bases1.5MORE4/10 40%DET @ PIT
Why:
  • Add Brandon Lowe at DET @ PIT
  • 4 separate games — still uncorrelated
  • Same dense-data + HOT-bat thesis as primary
📐 Math (Flex 4-leg)
Break-even/leg: 55.03% · Our avg L10: 48% · need 55.0% per leg
Expected payout: 0.64x (EV $-0.36/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
4/45%6.0x
3/422%1.5x
High-upside: 3-leg same-game stack (correlated)
All 3 from NYM @ SD — bigger upside, bigger variance.
#PlayerStatLineSideL10Game
1Fernando Tatis Jr.Total Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%NYM @ SD
2Luis CampusanoTotal Bases1.5MORE3/10 30%NYM @ SD
3Jackson MerrillTotal Bases1.5MORE5/10 50%NYM @ SD
Why:
  • 3 batters from NYM @ SD → correlated
  • If the pitcher gets shelled, all legs hit together
  • If pitcher pitches a gem, all die together
📐 Math (Flex 3-leg)
Break-even/leg: 57.74% · Our avg L10: 43% · need 57.7% per leg
Expected payout: 0.55x (EV $-0.45/$1)
HitP(k)Pays
3/38%3.0x
2/332%1.0x
Auto-faded (caught by gates):
Spencer Horwitz, Bryan Reynolds, Esmerlyn Valdez, Spencer Torkelson, Manny Machado, Ty France, A.J. Ewing, Drake Baldwin

⚾ MLB EdgeBoard + Pro V2

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$-50.72 (106 picks)

⚽ WC EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🎾 Tennis EdgeBoard →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)

🏈 NFL EdgeBoard (off-season — kickoff Sept 11) →

Slate today0 locked
ELITE / STRONG0 / 0
7-day paper P&L$+0.00 (0 picks)
Money Slate · generated 2026-08-19 09:16:27 · meta-refresh every 120s · edgeboard-home.pages.dev
Picks aggregated from forecastcard_mirror{,_wc,_tennis}/paper_trades_*_2026-08-19.json